NFL Tips – Browns @ Patriots – Week 8 2025

The Patriots will be hoping to consolidate their position at the top of the AFC East when they host the Browns.

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Best Bet

Under 40.5
Total

It’s hard to see this game being high scoring given the defensive advantage on both sides of the ball.

The Browns defence is once again one of the top units in the league, ranking first in yards per drive and fifth in points per drive.

That’s despite getting very little help from their offence in field position or time of possession.

While Patriots QB Drake Maye has been having a terrific season, he is yet to face anything like a defence of this quality.

The Browns haven’t put up more than 200 yards passing in any of their last five games and first year QB Dillon Gabriel is averaging a measly 5.1 yards per attempt.

Five of the last seven Browns games have seen totals of 36 or less. The under is the play.


Same Game Multi

Under 40.5, Maye Under 225.5 Passing Yards, Gabriel Under 200.5 Passing Yards
Same Game Multi

Leaning into the low scoring playscript by taking each of the QBs to go under their passing yard total.


Value Bet

Patriots D/ST
Anytime Touchdown

This is really a bet against Gabriel who hasn’t looked the part of an NFL quarterback in his three starts so far.

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Frankie has spent more than a decade working in the Australian wagering industry and is widely regarded for his expertise in AFL, NRL and horse racing tips.