NFL Tips – Broncos @ Chiefs – Week 17 2025

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Best Bet

Broncos -13.5

Line

$1.95

Kansas City’s horrible year has gone from bad to worse with Patrick Mahomes out for the season, and now his backup, Gardner Minshew, on the sidelines as well.

The Chiefs turned to Chris Oladokun in place of Minshew and he was only able to lead the team to 133 total yards against the Titans, a bottom 12 defence for both yards and points allowed.

It bodes badly for the Chiefs given they meet a Broncos team that will be stinging off the back of a defeat to the Jaguars last week, and which desperately needs to win to retain the number one seed and get a first week playoff bye.

The Chiefs have now failed to cover in seven straight games, with last week’s loss to the Titans being the most humiliating of all.

Denver have too much at stake to let this one slip and will be keen to run up the score against a division rival that has dominated them in recent seasons.

Same Game Multi

Broncos -13.5, Pacheco Under 35.5 Rushing Yards, Nix Over 225.5 Passing Yards

Same Game Multi

$4.75

Pacheco has failed to clear this mark and now comes up against the second best run defence in the league.

The line reflects that Bo Nix won’t need to pass much here but I don’t think Broncos coach Sean Payton will be afraid to run up the score here.

Value Bet

Broncos D/ST

Anytime TD

$4.50

The sack/fumble recovery and interception return TD are both in play here for a Broncos defence that is a far meaner unit than the Titans who terrorized Oladokun last week, sacking him four times.

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