The Broncos and Bills provide one of the most compelling wild card matchups and while the Bills should prove too strong, the line is too big.
Best Bet
Buffalo have been the great underachievers of the playoffs in recent years so more than happy to take them on again against a rising Broncos team.
While Josh Allen is well in the mix for the MVP award, his form has rarely translated to January. He is 3-7 ATS in playoff games over the course of his career.
This is also a big lay spot for Buffalo too in terms of situation. Favourites of 7 to 9.5 points in playoff games cover at just 32.4%.
Broncos coach Sean Payton has a great record in playoffs as an underdog, covering four of five. Payton teams also cover at 58% on the road.
Suspect the Broncos are over the odds here.
Same Game Multi
Marvin Mims has 50-plus yards in four of his last five.
Courtland Sutton has at least five catches in nine of his last 10.
Josh Allen has 30-plus rush yards in five of his last six.
Value Bet
Sean Payton has finally managed to find ways to get Marvin Mims the ball and it has reaped plenty of rewards of late. Mims scored a wonderful touchdown to send the game to overtime against the Bengals. He now has four touchdowns across the last two weeks. He has at least three catches in each of the last six games. His speed should and will worry Buffalo.