NFL Tips – Bills @ Falcons – Week 6 2025

Fresh off their first loss of the season, the Buffalo Bills will be looking to get back on track when they head to Atlanta to play the Falcons.

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Best Bet

Bijan Robinson Over 110.5
Rushing & Receiving Yards

Bijan Robinson is having an outstanding season both running and catching the football and he gets an excellent matchup here against Buffalo.

Remarkably, Robinson already has two games this season with 100 or more yards receiving, and that’s despite having an outstanding season on the ground, averaging 4.9 yards per carry.

He now takes on a Buffalo run defence that has typically been vulnerable under Sean McDermott who likes to play a lot of two high coverages.

The Bills rank 30th in the league for rushing yards allowed per attempt, and it is only the fact they have played with a lead for much of the season that has not seen this exposed.

Buffalo is also without their best linebacker, Matt Milano, while safety Damar Hamlin is on IR.

Robinson is a great bet in this one.


Same Game Multi

Robinson Over 110.5 Rushing/Receiving, Josh Allen 250+ Passing Yards
Same Game Multi

As mentioned above, keen for Bijan Robinson to hit his yards from scrimmage number.

The Falcons defence has been good this season – particularly against the pass – but they have a much tougher assignment here with Josh Allen who gets a very achievable number to hit here.


Value Bet

Robinson 65+ Receiving Yards
Anytime TD

Given his quality as a pass catcher and his proven ability to have big names, some of the bigger numbers for Robinson as a receiver are highly tempting. Don’t underestimate the loss of Milano either.

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Frankie has spent more than a decade working in the Australian wagering industry and is widely regarded for his expertise in AFL, NRL and horse racing tips.