NFL Tips – Bengals @ Broncos – Week 4 2025

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Best Bet

Broncos -7.5

Total

$1.87

The Bengals offence is a total disaster and they look in for a rough night when they meet the Broncos.

The clear and obvious mismatch is the Bengals offensive line against the Broncos pass rush.

Cincinnati’s poor pass blocking has already seen Joe Burrow knocked out for most of the season and Jake Browning hasn’t fared much better.

The Bengals rank last in pass block win rate, a problem which came home to roost when Browning was sacked three times (and backup Rypien once) while being under pressure on one third of his dropbacks, which contributed to the two picks he threw.

Things aren’t much better running the ball either. The Bengals have posted 46, 48 and 53 rushing yards in three games this year.

This is a huge problem against Denver’s fearsome defensive line, which leads the league in both sacks and pressure rate.

Even with Bo Nix and the Broncos offence struggling, this shapes as such a mismatch on the Bengals side of the ball that the home team have to be the bet here.

Same Game Multi

Broncos -7.5, Nix Under 220.5 Passing Yards, Dobbins Over 65.5 Rushing Yards & TD

Same Game Multi

$5.00

Broncos head coach Sean Payton isn’t silly. With his defence likely to be stifling the Broncos, the formula to victory lies in being conservative in the passing game, and leaning on JK Dobbins in the run game.

Value Bet

JK Dobbins

First Touchdown

$5.50

JK Dobbins has a score in every game this season and with the Broncos likely to find the end zone first, he is the clear standout for the first touchdown.

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