Cam Thomas has been ruled out for the season for the Brooklyn Nets, which opens the door for Keon Johnson.
Best Bet
Brooklyn Nets @ Boston Celtics (10:30am)
Brooklyn have been slightly better than I have given them credit for, they pushed Boston to within 2 points and now will face the Celtics again, but in TD Garden.
Boston love getting into a three point shoot out with teams and this plays to Johnson’s game perfectly. He has hit 9 triples over his last 2 games and cleared 20 points both times. He has cleared this PR line with points alone, in 3 of his last 5 games.
Keon has been getting a larger share of minutes, as has the majority of Nets players, as the team is trying multiple line-ups and exploring their roster. The last 5 times Keon has played over 26 minutes he has had 6+ rebounds every time. Cam Thomas is done for the year due to a hamstring injury which directly coincides with Keon’s outburst.
Next Best
Cleveland Cavaliers @ Los Angeles Clippers (1:30pm)
Oh man, what a tear! 10 of the last 11 games have resulted in a double double for the big Croatian and it hasn’t just been 10/10.
Over his last ten games Zoo has posted 21.4 points and 12 rebounds per game. That gives a nice buffer from this line in which he has cleared 8 out of those 10 games.
The Cavs present an issue on paper, with the twin towers in Mobley and Allen. In fact, the data shows that Centres have actually enjoyed an 8% increase in both points and rebounds over the past three weeks. Look for Zoo to keep the prolific run going, post All Star weekend.
SGM: Zubac 15+ Points/ Zubac 10+ Rebounds/ Leonard 6+ Rebounds = $3.30
Value Bet
Milwaukee Bucks @ Golden State Warriors (1:00pm)
The volume is the risk in this bet, with Brook not a voluminous three point shooter. But he is more than capable, making a career out of being a reliable stretch 5 man.
Golden State have been gifting 3’s to Centres, with a 69% increase to opponents over the past month. Quinten Post is the Warriors centre at the moment and he is being exploited from behind the arc. Aaron Gordon just sunk 4 and KAT had 3 the game before. Hopefully we see close to 20 minutes of Post and Lopez can attack the slow close outs.
SGM: Lopez 2+ 3’s/ Giannis 30+ Points/ Lillard Over 10.5 RA = $7.50
Tuesday NBA Multi
Hawks/Bucks/Cavs ($3.30)