A 4 game slate where the big guys should dominate, with all three tips involving Centre’s.
Best Bet
Memphis Grizzlies @ Phoenix Suns (2:00pm)
Memphis finally have their starting five healthy and all on the floor at the same time. Surprisingly to some, they sit second in the Western Conference and lead the league for points scored as a team.
Averaging 26.4 over his last ten, this line looks to be too much of an adjustment after his 19-point game against OKC. Before that, was three 30 point performances and you have to go back 10 games before you get another game under 21 points.
He’s only seen the Phoenix Suns once this season, meeting on New Years Eve. He torched them for 38 points in 38 minutes and still left a potential 7 points at the charity stripe. Sure, Phoenix have made adjustments at their Centre position, but shouldn’t affect JJJ as the power forward.
SGM – Jackson Jnr. 25+ Points/ Morant 6+ Assists/ Memphis Win = $2.87
Next Best
Detroit Pistons @ Chicago Bulls (12:00pm)
Saluted for the Betseeker faithful two days ago, at a line that was less 2 PR than this.
I can see him clearing this line even with the increase, for a lot of the same reasons. He’s in a rich vein of form at the moment and has cleared this line 7 out of his last 10 games. The line is set right on his average with 14 Points and 11.5 rebounds over that period.
Draws an enticing match up against Chicago, who are running with a bunch of combo guards and Nikola Vucevic. In the two times Duren has played the Bulls this season, he finished with 34 and 37 PR including a 22 rebound performance back in November. Averaging 35 PR against the Bulls gives us a huge window for success.
SGM – Duren 10+ Rebounds/ Duren 10+ Points/ Vucevic Over 3.5 Assists = $3.00
Value Bet
Toronto Raptors @ Philadelphia 76ers (11:00am)
Regular readers would have enjoyed this as the Value Bet in Philly’s last game, with Embiid throwing 6 dimes exactly.
Since his return, he has had 6 or more assists in every game and it’s too good to ignore at this price. Embiid doesn’t look like his physically dominant self but he is still more than capable, even with the world’s biggest knee brace on. Questionable for this game and I suspect for the majority of games from here on out. This is the first night of a back to back, so I expect him to play against Toronto and sit the following night. Toronto have very little in the way of Centre’s at the moment and Joel could run rings around 23-year-old Jonathan Mogbo.
SGM – Embiid 6+ Assists/ Dick 15+ Points/ 76ers Win = $7.25
Wednesday NBA Multi
76ers/ Memphis -4.5
$2.52