We should see a couple of point guards struggle today, against some stingy defence.
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Best Bet
Phoenix Suns @ Milwaukee Bucks (10:30am)
Every time I look up a Phoenix bet, I am surprised by their current standing. Currently 11th in the West and outside the play in tournament, with this roster is just unacceptable.
Booker is only averaging 21.6 over his last ten games and that’s including a 41 point bonanza against the Chicago Bulls. His 3 point shot is off at the moment, currently averaging under 30%. He has cleared this number just twice in 10 games and the Bucks are not an easy opponent for point guards.
Only managed 19 and 23 against the Bucks so far this season. His assist numbers have been way up this season and he should continue to facilitate against Milwaukee instead of score.
SGM: Booker under 27.5 Points/ Booker 6+ Assists/ Dunn over 8.5 Points $4.00
Next Best
Portland Trail Blazers @ Atlanta Hawks (10:30am)
A slightly over inflated line here, but coming off a 19 assist game, its probably justified.
We can still take advantage of it here, with Portland giving opposition point guards hell, by restricting assists by 21% over the past month. This is the best for any team over that period and is a credit to their tenacious defence. Last time Trae played Portland back in November, he only managed 8 assists in 38 minutes.
Over his last ten games, Trae has cleared this number six times. He has hit the number twelve on five occasions beating this line by only half an assist. With Portland’s defence, he shouldn’t get close.
SGM: Young under 11.5 Assists/ Avdija 20+ Points/ Risacher 2+ Threes = $4.00
Value Bet
Philadelphia 76ers @ New York Knicks (10:30am)
KAT has had two sub par performances in a row and that’s potentially why the punters are taking the unders, but this looks great value for us.
He has produced a double-double in his last six games and with the Knicks looking to hold onto the 3rd seed in the East, every game is becoming more important. Nothing gives Towns more chance to find some form than an undermanned Philadelphia squad, that has been leaking points and threes to centres like you would not believe. Over the last three weeks, the 76ers have been the best team to take advantage of, with centres averaging 29% more points and a massive 55% more threes.
This is what Towns does, as the self proclaimed ‘best big man shooter in the league’. He has cleared this line at 50% over his last ten games, he will give Philly a touch up here, in the Garden.
SGM: Towns 25+ Points/ Anunoby 20+ Points/ Hart 8+ Assists = $6.75
Wednesday NBA Multi
Bulls/ Magic/ Trail Blazers +5.5 = $4.29