Nikola Jokic continues to dominate the league with either 50-point games or triple-doubles, and on this occasion I think he can do some damage from deep against the Bulls.
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Best Bet
Charlotte Hornets @ Toronto Raptors (11:40am)
Slow start to the season for Jakob Poeltl including a brief stint on the sidelines, but he’s come back strong for the Raptors.
Poeltl’s minutes remain around the mid-high 20s, but he’s been ultra-effective in his last two games, with the Austrian scoring 20 points in 29 minutes against the Cavs and backed it up with 22 points in 26 minutes against Indiana.
The Hornets concede points 17% above average to centres, so I think we’ll see Poeltl easily cover this line and probably hit 15+.
Next Best
Chicago Bulls @ Denver Nuggets (1:10pm)
Doesn’t need to shoot triples, but he’ll get plenty of chances against Vucevic and the Bulls.
Chicago is conceding three pointers made to centres 50% above average this season, and the is currently averaging 1.9 per game as it is, shooting the three at 42.6% for the season.
The Joker has hit 2+ threes in six of his last eight games, and although he’ll likely play less minutes due to a likely blowout, he’ll make 2 from deep.
Value Bet
OKC Thunder @ New Orleans Pelicans (12:10pm)
Another blowout incoming when the Thunder head to New Orleans who enter this off no rest, but it won’t affect Hartenstein’s output who is only playing 28 minutes a game as it is.
Averaging 11.3 rebounds per game this season, iHart has hit 12+ rebounds in three of his last five games.
New Orleans is the second easiest team for centres to rebound against this season at 16% above average, so he may only play 25 minutes but there’s every chance he still hits 12+ in this.
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