
Game 1 of the Western Conference Finals between the Spurs and Thunder – will OKC continue their undefeated playoff run, or can the Spurs steal Game 1 on the road?
San Antonio Spurs @ OKC Thunder (10:40am)
Best Bet
Jalen Williams has been cleared to play in Game 1 of the Western Conference Finals, but I still think we see a heap of Ajay Mitchell in which he’ll likely remain as a starter for the Thunder.
Mitchell has been incredible these playoffs averaging 18.8 points per game, covering 12.5 points in his last seven games, while dropping 28 points in Game 4 against the Lakers.
In Game 2 against the Suns, the last game Mitchell and Williams played together, Mitchell still managed 14 points in 29 minutes. I expect the Thunder to still find close to 30 minutes for Mitchell in this as they ease Williams back into the mix.
Value Bet
The big man has had some success on the glass against the Spurs this season, and coming off a 10-rebound game against the Lakers in Game 4, Isaiah Hartenstein is every chance of backing this up in Game 1 against the Spurs.
Hartenstein averages 11 rebounds a game against San Antonio across three games this season, hitting 10+ in two of those while recording nine rebounds in just 20 minutes in the only miss.
We’ve become accustomed to Hartenstein only playing around 23-24 minutes a game, but he’s closer to 28 minutes per game in his last five these playoffs – if he’s anywhere close to that figure, he’s a big chance of recording double digit rebounds.
SGM
Mitchell 10+ Points / Hartenstein 8+ Rebounds / Castle 15+ Points = $3.40
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