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Nikola Jokic’s ability to rack up points continues to be underrated by the bookies and that may well prove silly when the reigning MVP comes up against a limited Charlotte frontcourt.
Best Bet
Spurs @ Rockets (11:00am)
Total Points Under 237.5 ($1.90)
San Antonio and Houston are both worse than the league average when it comes to defence but the total still looks to have come up far too big here.
In their last 10 games, the Spurs and Rockets have both cleared their respective totals at just a 30 per cent clip.
The under has saluted in eight of San Antonio’s last 10 and it’s four times in their last five road games.
For Houston, the under is a perfect 6/6 in the last 10 days and in the Rockets’ last 5 games at home – the under is four from five.
Want more? The under has hit in 11 of the last 16 between these two outfits.
Same Game Multi
Dejounte Murray 25+ Points
Jakob Poetl 8+ Rebounds
San Antonio H2H
$3.75
Next Best
Nuggets @ Hornets (10:00am)
Nikola Jokic Over 26.5 Points ($1.83)
The Joker is shooting an absurd 61.9 per cent from the floor in the month of March and is averaging more than three points per game more than what his line is set at on Tuesday.
The extraordinary thing about that shooting percentage is that the deep ball isn’t even dropping for the reigning MVP. He’s knocking down just over 23 per cent of his triples and yet he is still finding ways to score and get the Nuggets over the line.
Jokic has notched 27 points in eight of his last 13 and the Serbian scored 29 in his sole game against the Hornets earlier this season.
Expect a tired Charlotte team with sketchy front court depth to struggle to contain the big man as Denver looks to do everything they can to avoid the play-in.
Same Game Multi
Nikola Jokic 25+ Points
Will Barton 4+ Rebounds
Denver H2H
$3.50
VALUE BET
Spurs @ Rockets (11:00am)
Dejounte Murray Over 23.5 Points / San Antonio Win ($2.5)
Double dipping here and although it may look counterproductive on first glance, the value looks too hard to resist.
Dejounte Murray has gone up a gear since the All-Star break. The Washington product is averaging 24.3 points per game over that span – that’s a jump of almost five points.
Since the break, Murray has notched 24+ points in nine of 13 games and he looks every chance of repreating the dose against Houston today.
The Rockets rank dead last in defensive rating across the league this season and with plenty of teams starting to put the cue in the rack with the draft in mind expect Houston to do their best to hand this one to their southwest division rivals.
Tuesday NBA Multi
Magic @ Cavs Total Points Over 215.0 / San Antonio -6.5 = $3.72
