Wemby has been on a tear for the Spurs entering this contest with the Clippers, looking for his third consecutive 30+ point game.
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Best Bet
Golden State Warriors @ Washington Wizards (10:10am)
Bigs are not just feasting on the Wizards – they are humiliating them of late.
Last start Queta and Garza combined for 39, the start prior Wendell Carter Jr had 19 – and it’s probably worth mentioning that Bam dropped 83 on them the three starts back.
Washington is conceding triples to centres 39% above average over the last month, which works well for Porzingis who is expected to start for the Warriors. The Latvian is only averaging 20 minutes a game in four appearances for Golden State, but is averaging 14.5 points per game at a rate of 25.3 points per 36 minutes.
Porzingis has made 2+ threes in three of his four games for Golden State – no easier matchup than the Wizards for Kristaps to let it fly.
Next Best
San Antonio Spurs @ LA Clippers (1:10pm)
Wemby’s recent form has been next level, and I think we’ll see another dominant performance by the Frenchman.
Averaging 33 points per game from his last five, including covering the 26.5 points on all five occasions, Wemby will face the Clippers again – a team he played four starts back, scoring 27 points in just 21 minutes.
The Clippers have been the fifth easiest team in the NBA for centres to score against over the last month, 18% above average, and with Wemby coming off 39 and 32 against two solid defences in Boston and Charlotte, he should be covering this line again.
Value Bet
Portland Trail Blazers @ Brooklyn Nets (10:40am)
The Nets are without Michael Porter Jr, Noah Clowney, Day’Ron Sharpe and Egor Demin – which means shorter rotations, and greater opportunity for Danny Wolf.
The Rookie is averaging around 27 minutes per game from his last four starts, and as a result is averaging 8.8 rebounds per game during this stretch.
From the last seven games Wolf has played 26+ minutes, he’s averaging 8.6 rebounds and has hit 8+ in six of those games.
Recording a double-double last start, the $5.90 on offer is great value for a small play to go with the 8+ rebounds.
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