Joel Embiid isn’t quite back to his best but he’s still played really well for the 76ers lately when available. How will he fair when Philadelphia head over the border to Toronto?
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Best Bet
Utah Jazz @ Cleveland Cavaliers (11:10am)
Absolutely flying of late and really been a consistent performer all season for the Cavs when fit.
Sam Merrill is averaging 15.9 points from his last nine games while shooting the three-ball at 50% over this stretch. From those nine games, he’s covered this line in seven of them including the last five – the recent five-game stretch Merrill is averaging 18.4 points, scoring 15+ in all five games.
This Utah defence will concede a heap of points – Merrill will get plenty of looks from deep.
Next Best
Philadelphia 76ers @ Toronto Raptors (11:40am)
Didn’t play against the Raptors last start, and this won’t be an easy matchup for Embiid.
Toronto is one of the slower paced teams in the NBA this season, along with being the sixth best team at opponent points per game with one of the best defensive ratings – as a result, they’re conceding points to centres 15% below average the last month.
Embiid has been really good lately don’t get me wrong, but has struggled against the teams that statistically defend centres well. He had 22 on Orlando and 12 on the Warriors – this won’t be an easy line to cover for the big man.
Value Bet
Boston Celtics @ Indiana Pacers (11:40am)
Has thrived without Devin Vassell in the lineup for San Antonio both scoring the basketball, but Has been really good for the Pacers over the last seven games and he gets a nice matchup in the Celtics.
Andrew Nembhard averages 18.3 points and 8.9 assists during this stretch, and has recorded three double-doubles while he was one assist shy from another double-double last start against the Heat.
The Celtics are one of the easier teams in the NBA for point guards to produce assists against, so based on Nembhard’s recent run we could see another double-double for the Canadian.
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