An unheralded rookie out of New Orleans is putting together an underrated rookie season, and it’s not Derik Queen.
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Best Bet
San Antonio Spurs @ New Orleans Pelicans (12:10pm)
Minutes are building for the rookie starting at point for the Pelicans.
Jeremiah Fears is averaging 33 minutes from his last five games, and with the additional minutes and offensive usage his point-production is up.
Across the season, when Fears has played 27+ minutes he averages 17.5 points covering in 7 of those 12 games, but it’s the match-up with the Spurs which is the icing on the cake.
San Antonio is the easiest team in the NBA over the last month for point guards to score against, going at 24% above average. Fears had 18 on the Spurs last time they played, and with the Point Guard scoring 20+ in three of his last four games, I can see him doing something similar again.
Next Best
Sacramento Kings @ Indiana Pacers (11:10am)
The stretch-5 has locked away the starting spot at Indiana – something he really should have been given when he first walked in.
Jay Huff has now started in seven games for Indiana where he averages 10.3 points, but this is purely a minutes play. When playing 20+ minutes as a starter, Huff averages 12.8 and has covered 10.5 points on all five occasions.
Against Sacramento rookie Maxime Raynaud, I think Huff can get the big man caught up with his pick-and-pop action in this Indiana offense.
Value Bet
Phoenix Suns @ Minnesota Timberwolves (11:40am)
A great price under the proviso that the Suns can keep this somewhat competitive – a blowout doesn’t give Mark Williams any chance though.
In the last 15 games Williams has played 21+ minutes, he averages 14.8 points and 9.2 rebounds – this includes recording three double doubles from the last four times this has happened.
The big man had 19 and 8 last time he faced the Timberwolves on November 21, so I don’t mind the price for Williams up against Gobert in this.
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