Jalen Williams is back for the Thunder, and his lines are slightly low as OKC ease him back into the swing of things.
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Best Bet
Chicago Bulls @ OKC Thunder (11:10am)
Two games back now for Jalen Williams after missing a fortnight with injury, and although they’ve eased him back minutes wise his numbers remain strong.
Williams had 4 assists in his return against the Grizzlies, and then produced 6 assists against the Pacers last start.
Averaging 6.4 assists from his last 11 games which includes covering this line in eight of those games, it’s hard to see JDub fall short. The Small Forward had eight dimes last time he played Chicago, with the Bulls conceding assists to small forwards 10% above average over the last month.
SGM: Thunder / White 20+ Points / Giddey 8+ Rebounds / Williams Over 4.5 Assists = $3.75
Next Best
Sacramento Kings @ Indiana Pacers (10:10am)
This is certainly a minutes play for Myles Turner – if he can stay out of foul trouble, I don’t think he has too many issues covering against the Kings.
Sacramento concedes points to centres 20% above average over the last month – the second easiest team behind Philadelphia.
In the last ten games Turner has played 30+ minutes, he’s averaged 18.7 points and covered 15.5 points in nine of those games. After a horrible perform by the Kings in Orlando, I think they’ll bounce back and at least be competitive in this which means we should see Turner get a bit more burn than his last two games.
SGM: Turner Over 15.5 Points / Sabonis 12+ Rebounds / Haliburton 10+ Assists = $4.00
Value Bet
Boston Celtics @ Memphis Grizzlies (10:30am)
Assist numbers have been great for Derrick White lately and he gets a friendly match-up in this when the Celtics face the Grizzlies.
Memphis concede assists 20% above average over the last month to point guards, which is where White has been playing most of his minutes this season.
White has hit 6+ assists in his last four games, which includes last game where Boston had all five starters playing. With Jaylen Brown questionable, there’s an opportunity for more usage so we could see his fifth straight game of 6+ dimes.
SGM: Edey Over 7.5 Points / White Over 4.5 Assists / Morant 6+ Assists = $4.00
Tuesday NBA Multi
Celtics / Pacers / Thunder / Mavericks = $2.90
