A monster 14-game slate before Thanksgiving, where we’ll see one of this season’s big movers in the Rockets in action after defeating the Timberwolves on Wednesday.
Best Bet
OKC Thunder @ Golden State Warriors (2:10pm)
The big man has been a welcome return to the Thunder and is playing like he never missed.
Isaiah Hartenstein’s first game of the season was against the Blazers where he came off the bench for 13 points, 14 rebounds and 3 assists in just 28 minutes – and last start he entered the starting line-up with his minutes jumping up to 31 minutes finishing with 17 points, 10 rebounds and 4 assists against the Kings.
As OKC’s sole big, Hartenstein gets a great look against the undersized Warriors who are conceding rebounds to centres 13% above average over the last month. He has fit like a glove in their system, and should cover this PRA going forward while Chet is out.
SGM – OKC -2.5 / Under 230.5 Points / Hartenstein Over 24.5 PRA = $5.25
Next Best
Miami Heat @ Charlotte Hornets (11:10am)
The Hornets are fairly bad, but the LaMelo and Miller show is a great watch of late.
Miller is averaging 29.8 points per game from his last four, and although he only finished with 20 against the Magic that is a bad match-up for wings due to their defensive prowess.
Although Miami isn’t poor defensively, I expect them to put most of their attention into LaMelo like they did against Lillard and the Bucks on Wednesday. The Heat are conceding points to small forwards 13% above average over the last month, so we could see another 30-point outing by Miller in this.
SGM – Miller Over 22.5 Points / Bam 15+ Points/ Ball 8+ Assists = $4.50
Value Bet
Houston Rockets @ Philadelphia 76ers (11:10am)
The 76ers are horrible and this Houston outfit is a terrible match-up for them.
With a Maxey / McCain back-court generating majority of Philadelphia’s scoring, there’s no doubt the defensive wings of Brooks, Thompson and Eason will have a field day chasing them around and limiting their impact.
Once again, 76ers are without Embiid, George, while Caleb Martin is also questionable who is an important piece to this team purely based on effort. I know Houston enter this off no rest after an overtime win in Minnesota on Wednesday, but their depth and effort is far too strong and this shouldn’t be an issue.
SGM – Rockets -5.5 / McCain 20+ Points / Sengun 4+ Assists = $5.00
Thursday NBA Multi
Rockets / Thunder / Grizzlies / Timberwolves
$4.70
