NBA Tips – Thursday, March 27 NBA Picks & Multi

We got the brooms out on Thursday with an old-fashioned sweep, and we’re back Friday looking for the Bulls to upset the Lakers in Chicago.

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Best Bet

Portland Trail Blazers @ Sacramento Kings (1:10pm)

Deni Avdija
Over 33.5 PRA

It’s an insane run by Deni Avdija, averaging a PRA of 41 over the last eight games.

We see the Israeli’s PRA drop to 33.5 for this clash with the Kings, purely off the back of failing to cover in his last two starts – but this was against the Celtics and Cavs; two of the best three teams in the NBA, and the volume was still there.

Sacramento is in the bottom 10 teams for defensive rating since the All Star break, and with Deni just falling short of this PRA line against two quality outfits, expect a bounce back and a big performance in this.

SGM: Avdija Over 33.5 PRA / Monk 15+ Points / Sabonis 6+ Assists = $4.00


Next Best

Dallas Mavericks @ Orlando Magic (10:10am)

Naji Marshall
Over 18.5 Points

Add PJ Washington to Dallas’ injury woes (again), which means we’ll see more opportunity for Naji Marshall.

In the eight games that Washington missed in March, Marshall averaged 25 points covering the line of 18.5 points in six of them.

Coming off a 38-point effort against the Knicks, I expect to see Marshall and AD as Dallas’ primary scorers going forward, and with AD questionable we should see Marshall score in the 20s once again.

SGM: Magic / Marshall Over 18.5 Points / F Wagner 6+ Rebounds = $5.25


Value Bet

LA Lakers @ Chicago Bulls (11:10am)

Bulls
Win

It was a tough road win for the Lakers against Indiana, requiring a LeBron buzzer-beating tip-in to get the win.

LBJ played 38 minutes in just his third game back, Luka also playing 38, while Rui is just three games back from injury. I really cannot see JJ Redick playing any of these three off no rest when they head Chicago.

The Bulls are balling. They are eighth in the NBA for net rating since the All Star break, with Coby White averaging 26 a game and Giddey going for 23 / 10 / 9 during this stretch.

After just belting the Lakers by 31 on their home court two starts back, I like the price when they return to Chicago in this.

SGM: Bulls / Over 239.5 Points = $3.50


Friday NBA Multi

Bulls +3.5 / Thunder / Magic = $3.33

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Few know the NBA like Dale, who has spent years backing winners for punters across a number of publications and podcasts. He also specialises in tennis and AFL.