Spicy P has been rebounding well for the Pacers in their recent run and he should produce another big game on the glass against the Bulls.
Best Bet
Chicago Bulls @ Indiana Pacers (11:10am)
Has rebounded the ball well this season especially of late, and Spicy P should get plenty of opportunities against this fast-paced Bulls outfit.
Averaging 9 a game from his last 13 games, Siakam has recorded 8+ rebounds in nine of those meetings.
Although he only managed 7 rebounds last time he met the Bulls, Chicago do concede rebounds to power forwards 9% above average over the last month, so think we could see Spicy P with a double-double here.
SGM – Siakam 8+ Rebounds / Vucevic 8+ Rebounds/ Williams Over 13.5 PR = $4.50
Next Best
Toronto Raptors @ New York Knicks (11:10am)
The Raptors big man gets a good look at the Knicks – regardless of whether KAT is fit to go or not.
Poeltl averages 15.3 points per game this season but with Quickley, Barrett and Barnes all playing in the same team we’ve seen the Austrian’s line drop to 11.5 points. Poeltl did cover this last start against the Bucks though, and I’m confident he will again.
The Knicks are the second easiest team over the last month for centres to score against, 18% above average, so I expect Poeltl to be the beneficiary of some playmaking from the Raptors trio.
SGM – Poeltl Over 11.5 Points / Quickley Over 5.5 Assists / Barnes 4+ Assists = $4.00
Value Bet
Detroit Pistons @ Brooklyn Nets (11:40am)
Extremely small sample size, but when the Nets are without DLo, Cam Thomas and Cam Johnson, Ziaire Williams appears to be one of their main men.
Williams averages 9.1 rebounds per 36 minutes when those three key players are not on the floor this season, which makes his current rebound line of 4.5 very low.
Since returning from injury across three games, Williams averages just under 6 rebounds per game from a bit over 21 minutes per game – last start without this trio he played 26 minutes and finished with 8 rebounds. Think we’ll see similar minutes here and another strong rebound output.
SGM – Beasley 15+ Points / Johnson 15+ Points/ Williams Over 4.5 Rebounds = $4.75
Thursday NBA Multi
Spurs +5.5 / Trail Blazers +2.5 / Pistons
$4.62
