The Jazz host Golden State as big outsiders, but with some key additions back for Utah they’re a nice price to upstage the Warriors.
Best Bet
New Orleans Pelicans @ Denver Nuggets (1:10pm)
Has certainly capitalised on the injuries inflicted to this Pelicans line-up with a genuine breakout season for Trey Murphy.
He has gone on an absolute tear the last three games – 32 against Dallas, followed by 40 against Boston and 41 against Denver!
Minutes and usage are sky high for Murphy, while his points per 36 minutes without BI and Murray on floor this season is 27.2. Consistently playing around 38 minutes, we really should see another 30+ for Murphy paying $3.40.
SGM – Murphy Over 23.5 Points / Williamson 6+ Rebounds / McCollum 4+ Assists = $3.75
Next Best
San Antonio Spurs @ Atlanta Hawks (11:10am)
The number one pick might make a late case for Rookie of the Year due to the absence of Jalen Johnson.
We’ve seen Zaccharie Risacher’s minutes increase due to Johnson’s season ending injury, and when he’s played 25+ minutes across 20 games this season he averages 14.5 points.
Covering 11.5 points in 13 of those 20 games, including six of the last seven that he’s played 25+ minutes, Risacher averages 20.5 points per 36 minutes without Johnson, Capela and Bogdanovic on the floor.
We should see the rookie cover for the fourth straight game here.
SGM – Hawks +4.5 / Risacher 10+ Points / Vassell Under 7.5 RA = $4.20
Value Bet
Golden State Warriors @ Utah Jazz (1:10pm)
Absolutely no faith in Golden State, especially on the road. They just got over the line against the Magic at home last start, who has the second worst net rating this year.
Golden State is ranked 19th for net rating over the same timeframe, while the Jazz are 23rd – but there’s glimpses with Utah lately since Collins, Clarkson and Markkanen has returned. They comfortably beat Orlando at home, and then lost by 1-point to the Pacers last start.
Golden State has won just three of their last 12 road games which includes a recent loss to the Raptors, and with trade rumours circulating for the Warriors, I feel this is a great price for the Jazz on their home court.
SGM – Jazz +6.5 / Collier 10+ Points / Kessler 12+ Rebounds = $4.50
Thursday NBA Multi
Jazz +6.5 / Kings / Grizzlies
$3.52
