Alperen Sengun has been dominant since the All Star break and he faces a San Antonio outfit trying to make do without Wemby.
Best Bet
San Antonio Spurs @ Houston Rockets (1:40pm)
The Wemby-less Spurs are getting absolutely destroyed by centres. Jalen Duren had 21 and 15, while the Missi-Olynyk combination for New Orleans have reeled in 53 rebounds between them across two games.
It’s a horrible time for the Spurs to face Alperen Sengun in that case. The Turk has been dominant the last few games for Houston, averaging 24.7 points and 12 rebounds since the All Star Break.
Over the last month San Antonio is the second easiest team for centres to score against at 19% above average, and are by far the easiest team for centres to rebound against at 20% above average. Expect another big Sengun game in this.
SGM – Sengun Over 30.5 PR / Smith Jnr 6+ Rebounds / Fox 6+ Assists = $4.33
Next Best
LA Clippers @ Chicago Bulls (12:10pm)
Unusually high line for James Harden with Kawhi Leonard off the injury report and ready to take on the Bulls. Harden averages just 20.9 points per game with Kawhi this season, and from those 16 games he’s only covered 26.5 points once.
Norman Powell won’t be available for the Clippers, and in the 11 games Harden has played without Powell his average does go up to 23.1 points – but he has still only covered 26.5 points just twice from those 11 games.
Still expect the Beard to do plenty against the Bulls, but this line appears far too high.
SGM – Harden Under 16.5 Points / Zubac 15+ Points / Bogdanovic Under 14.5 Points = $4.50
Value Bet
Philadelphia 76ers @ New York Knicks (11:10am)
Someone needs to rebound for the 76ers and I think Kelly Oubre Jr is their best chance with both Embiid and Yabusele out.
In his last 13 games without Joel Embiid, Oubre has averaged 8.3 rebounds – he has covered the line of 5.5 in 11 of those games, while hitting 8+ rebounds in eight of the 13.
Oubre has also recorded five double-doubles during this stretch, with 10+ rebounds priced at $7.25. Along with Maxey, Oubre has been one of Philadelphia’s consistent performers so I think we’ll see another strong performance by the swingman on the glass.
SGM – Oubre 6+ Rebounds / Brunson 25+ Points / Grimes 10+ Points = $3.40
Thursday NBA Multi
Trail Blazers / Hawks +2.5 / Knicks
$3.30
