NBA Tips - Thursday, December 12 NBA Picks & Multi

The second day of NBA Cup Quarter Finals on Thursday, where New York host the Hawks led by Karl-Anthony Towns who is putting together an incredible season.

Best Bet

Atlanta Hawks @ New York Knicks (11:00am)

Karl-Anthony Towns

Over 12.5 Rebounds

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$1.80

Rebounding at a career-high level with 13.3 rebounds per game this season, which has him ranked second in the NBA behind Jokic. KAT’s last five seasons at the Timberwolves he was an 8-10 rebound a night guy, but he has produced these type of rebound numbers early in his career to suggest this isn’t a fluke.

Since November 16, KAT actually leads the league in rebounds going at 14.5 rebounds per game in less than 34 minutes a night across 11 games – and the great thing is, because this is NBA Cup I expect Thibs to play KAT around 38 minutes even if it is a blowout.

KAT has recorded over 12.5 rebounds in seven of his last eight games, and in New York’s last meeting with the Hawks he produced 16 rebounds. If he can stay out of foul trouble, KAT covers here.

SGM – Bridges 15+ Points / Risacher Under 11.5 Points / Towns Over 12.5 Rebounds = $4.75

Value Bet

Golden State Warriors @ Houston Rockets (1:30pm)

Amen Thompson

8+ Rebounds

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$2.20

Golden State will provide the Rockets the opportunity to play smaller which gives Amen Thompson plenty of opportunities to play big minutes in this NBA Cup Quarter Final.

The Rockets have lost to Golden State twice this season, both times without Curry, so they are a bit of a bogey team for them. It’s mainly impacting Houston’s starters though, who have a net rating of -33.6 and a plus/minus of -22 against the Warriors across both games.

Thompson averages 9.5 rebounds against the Warriors across two games this season hitting 8+ on both occasions including last start where he played just 22 minutes. I expect Udoka to make some adjustments after their most recent loss where Kuminga posted a career-high 33 points, and if Thompson plays 30+ minutes he’ll hit the 8+ rebounds mark for the fifth time in seven games.

SGM – Thompson Over 6.5 Rebounds / Hield Over 2.5 Rebounds / Curry 6+ Assists = $4.50

Thursday NBA Multi

Knicks -6.5 / Warriors
$3.88

Sports Journalist

Dale Crotty

Few know the NBA like Dale, who has spent years backing winners for punters across a number of publications and podcasts. He also specialises in tennis and AFL.