Miles Bridges continues to post strong numbers for the Hornets with other key players on the sidelines.
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Best Bet
Sacramento Kings @ Washington Wizards (10:10am)
Last couple of games have been poor by Sarr, but against opposition that defend centres extremely well – Brooklyn and Miami both rank in the top-seven teams at restricting points to centres over the last month.
But he gets a great look against Sacramento in this. Over the last month, the Kings are the fifth easiest team in the NBA for centres to score against, 14% above average.
In the nine games prior to the last two starts, Sarr averaged 20.4 points covering 16.5 points in seven of those games. Think we can see the Frenchman back in the 20s in this.
SGM: Kings / Sarr Over 16.5 Points / DeRozan Under 4.5 Assists = $4.50
Next Best
Detroit Pistons @ OKC Thunder (12:40pm)
Cade Cunningham doubtful against for the Pistons, and to be honest that’s not much point rolling him out against the Thunder in OKC, so it’s another opportunity for Tim Hardaway Jr.
Although he only had 12 points in his first game without Cade against the Spurs, which still covers this line, but he’s exploded in the last two games against quality opposition – 32 against the Cavs, and 20 against Minnesota.
OKC are clearly a powerhouse, but I think we’ll see their defensive attention going into a few other players, and Hardaway should cover this off the back of the volume the last two games he’s played.
SGM: Hardaway Jr Over 11.5 Points / SGA 30+ Points / Thompson 6+ Rebounds = $4.75
Value Bet
Charlotte Hornets @ Indiana Pacers (10:10am)
Miles Bridges is really carrying this Charlotte outfit for the remainder of the season alongside Mark Williams, and we should expect some big stat lines.
The two can most certainly co-exist on the glass – in the last 13 games Bridges has played with Williams he averages 8.2 rebounds per game, hitting 8+ in seven of those games.
The Pacers concede rebounds to power forwards 5% above average over the last month, so it wouldn’t surprise me if we saw Bridges’ rebound line in double figures paying $4.80.
SGM: Pacers / Williams 10+ Rebounds / Bridges Over 6.5 Rebounds = $3.60
Thursday NBA Multi
Cavs / Celtics / Nuggets / Wizards +13.5 = $2.76
