Scottie Barnes has been an instrumental part of Toronto’s recent four-game run, and the Power Forward gets a good look against the 76ers.
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Best Bet
Toronto Raptors @ Philadelphia 76ers (11:40am)
Numbers are outstanding for Barnes this season especially of late, and this RA line appears slightly low for the Raptor.
Barnes is averaging 7.2 rebounds and 5 assists per game this season, but from his last four games he’s averaging an RA of 14.5 – this includes a 3 rebound / 6 assist game against the Bucks, but he only played 27 minutes due to heading to the locker room in the third as well as Toronto being blown out.
With the 76ers conceding assists to power forwards 19% above average, we could see Barnes push a triple double in this.
Next Best
LA Lakers @ Atlanta Hawks (12:10pm)
With Kristaps Porzingis unlikely to play the back-to-back, we’ll see Onyeka Okongwu play extended minutes as a starter when the Hawks host the Lakers.
Okongwu averages 8.7 rebounds per game across the season including reeling in 11 against the Raptors in the NBA Cup game on Saturday, with his last game as a starter being against the Magic where he had 12 rebounds in 35 minutes.
When playing 28+ minutes, Okongwu averages 9.2 rebounds including recording double doubles in his last three games where he’s played those minutes. He plays 30+ here, so he easily records 8+ rebounds and I’d happily take the $3 for a double double for the big man.
Value Bet
Dallas Mavericks @ Washington Wizards (11:10am)
The Wizards face the Mavericks – not exactly a blockbuster with both teams bottom of their respective conferences.
Not much has changed with Dallas since the Luka trade – bulk bigs, all injured. Gafford will miss off no rest, even though this is no big loss considering he did 12 minutes of cardio in their loss to Memphis, while Lively and AD remain out.
This gives Alex Sarr a huge opportunity. Averaging 18.9 points per game this season, Sarr had 20 points last start in Washington’s loss to the Cavs. With Kyshawn George out for the Wizards and Khris Middleton likely rested, we should see Sarr’s minutes around 30 in a winnable home game here.
Sarr only averages 28 minutes per game for the season, but when he’s played 29+ minutes across four games the Frenchman has averaged 25.3 points hitting 20+ in three of those games including 30+ twice. I think he goes big here – the 30+ paying $12.50.
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