Despite being last in the West, Walker Kessler has been a shining light for the Jazz this season and will look to produce another big game against Memphis.
Best Bet
Utah Jazz @ Memphis Grizzlies (12:10pm)
Putting together a huge season for the Jazz, with his points production significantly better than last year.
Kessler’s numbers have been really good lately – from his last eight games he averages a PR 28, covering the line of 23.5 in seven of those games.
Although the Grizzlies do a good job at restricting rebounds, they concede points to centres 19% above average over the last month, and with Kessler coming off 19 and 17 point games we should see the big man cover this line.
SGM – Kessler Over 23.5 PR / Sexton 15+ Points / Sexton 4+ Assists = $3.25
Next Best
New Orleans Pelicans @ Charlotte Hornets (11:10am)
Has covered this rebound line at a good clip over a long stretch now.
Dejounte Murray averages 6.7 rebounds per game over the last 22 games, but his coverage rate is at 68% over this period.
Hitting 6+ rebounds in six of his last seven games, Murray will get plenty of rebounding opportunities against this fast-paced Charlotte team.
SGM – McCollum 15+ Points / Murray 6+ Rebounds / Ball 8+ Assists = $3.10
Value Bet
Washington Wizards @ Phoenix Suns (1:10pm)
Will look to back bigs against Washington as often as possible, and we get a nice price for Phoenix’s latest acquisition, Nick Richards.
The former Hornet has had a solid start to his Suns career – he debuted with 21 points and 11 rebounds, then had a stinker against the Cavs, but responded reasonably well with 8 points and 15 rebounds in 21 minutes against the Nets.
Washington is a big man’s heaven – over the last month they concede points to centres 27% above average, and rebounds at 12% above average. Even if his minutes are in the low 20s, he’s still a big chance to record a double double in this.
SGM – Suns / Richards Double Double / Sarr 6+ Rebounds = $4.20
Sunday NBA Multi
Pistons +3.5 / Grizzlies / Nets +9.5 / Hawks
$5.43
