NBA Tips – Sunday, December 28 NBA Picks & Multi

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Best Bet

Denver Nuggets @ Orlando Magic (11:10am)

Wendell Carter Jr

Over 11.5 Points

$1.80

It was only ten days ago when Wendell Carter had a season-high 26 points against the Nuggets, including dropping four triples on Jokic.

Denver is one of the easier teams in the NBA for centres to score against over the last month at 14% above average, but it’s the damage from deep against Jokic which is the key behind bigs scoring on them, conceding triples at 51% above average to bigs over this period.

Carter Jr has covered this in six of his last seven games, and if he plays half as good as last time against the Nuggets he should cover this.

Same Game Multi

Carter Jr Over 11.5 Points / Jokic Under 30.5 Points / Banchero 4+ Assists

$4.00

Next Best

Milwaukee Bucks @ Chicago Bulls (12:10pm)

Matas Buzelis

Over 12.5 Points

$2.02

I like this Milwaukee matchup for Buzelis, who has been inconsistent for the Bulls but has shown enormous upside.

Averaging 15.9 points per game in December, Buzelis has covered this line in seven of those 11 games.

Minutes have been down the last two starts, but this was due to injury against the Hawks and then last start against the 76ers was due to foul trouble where he scored 10 points in 19 minutes.

Think we’ll see minutes back to mid to high 20s, and if that’s the case this becomes an easy cover.

Same Game Multi

Buzelis 10+ Points / Rollins 4+ Assists / Giddey 8+ Assists

$3.00

Value Bet

Utah Jazz @ San Antonio Spurs (12:10pm)

Kyle Filipowski

Double Double

$4.60

The Utah has no interest in playing their ‘injury risk’ players off no rest, with Will Hardy riding a lot of them well over 30 minutes against the Pistons – so I’m banking on Markkanen, Nurkic and Love not playing in this.

Last time Kyle Filipowski played without Markkanen and Nurkic, he finished with 25 points and 13 rebounds.

When he plays 28+ minutes, which he will if Utah sit all their bigs, Filipowski averages 17.1 points and 9 rebounds recording double doubles in two of the last three games. Will be around the mark at a nice price.

Same Game Multi

Filipowski 8+ Rebounds / Wemby 15+ Points / Wemby 8+ Rebounds

$3.60

Sunday NBA Multi

Today's NBA Multi

Magic +5 / Heat / Bulls / Timberwolves

$4.27

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