NBA Tips – Sunday, December 11 NBA Picks & Multi

Steph Curry - NBA Tips

Betseeker’s expert tipsters have you covered for the best NBA tips and predictions for every game of the NBA season.

The Warriors and Celtics meet for the first time this season and the visitors look the play with Steph Curry’s fitness a concern.

Best Bet

Celtics @ Warriors (12:30pm)

Celtics -2.5
Handicap

The Celtics look the play to exact some revenge on the reigning champs in front of their home crowd in San Francisco.

The numbers that really separate these teams this season is their performance against the league’s best. The Celtics have remarkably won 85% of games vs teams with records over .500 against just 44% for the Warriors. The Dubs are also just 1-4 against teams ranked in the top 5 of their conference and have suffered some big losses to strong teams like the Pelicans (-45, without Steph), the Suns twice (-29 and -11) and the Pacers (-8).

Steph Curry has also typically struggled off a break in the last two seasons. Save for a 47-point outing against the Kings earlier this season, in his first games back off a spell he has scored 22, 16, 15, 20, 18, 28, 30 and 12 points. Unless Steph is at his best, it’s hard to see the Warriors challenging a white-hot Boston unit here.


Next Best

Spurs @ Heat (9:10am)

Heat -11.5
Line

Despite recording their first win in 12 games last time out against Houston, Operation Tank for Wembanyama is still in full swing in San Antonio and they’ll be no match for Miami here.

The Spurs’ average losing margin over that 11 game losing streak was 19.4 points, emphasising just how far Pop’s team have been off the pace.

While Miami have been tough to catch this season, covering the spread at a league-worst 32%, their +/- against the handicap is only -2.7, suggesting they’ve been more unlucky than unreliable. The Spurs are only covering at 40% with a league-worst ATS +/- of 5.1 themselves.

Expect normal service to resume for the Spurs and a big win for Miami at home.


Value Bet

Jazz & Nuggets (1:10pm)

Nuggets 1-10
Margin

Utah have been money as underdogs all season and are likely to push Denver all the way here.

The Jazz are 12-5 against the spread as outsiders this season with the third ranked +/- ATS of 6.1. As away outsiders they are 8-4 ATS and are a respectable 4-3 off no rest.

The Nuggets are just going at the minute, only covering the line once in their last five and winning just one of their last four – a one-point victory over Portland courtesy of a Jamal Murray buzzer-beater.

The visitors looks good value here at the line, to keep the losing margin to 1-10 points and even to score an unlikely victory.


Saturday NBA Multi

Celtics / Heat / Jazz +6.5 / Trail Blazers = $4.90

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Joel has worked for more than six years at Sportsbet and BetEasy in the content and tipping space, specialising in AFL, cricket, NBA and UFC.