Kristaps Porzingis comes up against his old team in the Washington Wizards, who have really struggled defending centres of late.
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Best Bet
Washington Wizards @ Golden State Warriors (1:10pm)
Up against his old side in the Washington Wizards, and when Kristaps Porzingis played them less than a fortnight ago, the Latvian went big.
Porzingis had 30 points on the Wizards in just 25 minutes, which isn’t out of the ordinary for bigs completely tearing Washington up over the last month.
Centres are scoring 38% above average against the Wizards over this period, and with Porzingis scoring at a rate of 27.8 points per 36-minutes from the last seven games, he can go big again.
Next Best
LA Clippers @ Indiana Pacers (10:10am)
The Garland-Kawhi duo is proper dangerous and will be a scary proposition for any team in the post-season.
Garland’s last three weeks have been huge for the Clippers, averaging 23.1 points per game, and covering this line in seven of those nine games – one of those games he failed to cover in was against the Bucks where he played just 18 minutes in a blowout.
Should be scoring in the 20s again when he comes up against the Pacers.
Value Bet
New Orleans Pelicans @ Toronto Raptors (11:40am)
This is one of the better value plays I’ve seen for a long time.
Immanuel Quickley is out injured for the Raptors which means Scottie Barnes will be their primary distributor. Although he’s only played five games without Quickley this season, Barnes averages nine assists per game without the Point Guard, hitting double digits in three of those five games – including the last two games.
The Pelicans concede assists to power forwards 19% above average over the last month, so every chance we see another double digits assist game from Barnes here. Take his line of 5.5, take the value at 8+, have a dabble at 10+ at $8.50, while a triple double isn’t out of the question.
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