Evan Mobley has been super-impressive of late for the Cavs and his line for both points and rebounds appears far too low against the Bucks.
Best Bet
Milwaukee Bucks @ Cleveland Cavaliers (11:40am)
Has completely gone under the radar of bookmakers – Evan Mobley is red-hot at the moment for the Cavs.
In his last 12 games, Mobley averages a PR of 28.3 per game bit this includes two showings of less than 20 minutes – one blowout, another an early injury. If we remove these from the sample, Mobley averages a PR of 31.6 across ten games.
Last game Mobley only played 23 minutes due to early foul trouble and a blowout against the Nets, but he’s going that well that he still covered this PR scoring 18 points in the second half. Expect at least 30 minutes against the Bucks and an easy cover.
SGM – Mobley Over 16.5 Points / Mobley Over 8.5 Rebounds / Wright Under 4.5 Assists = $5.00
Next Best
Charlotte Hornets @ Philadelphia 76ers (11:10am)
LaMelo is questionable for this game off no rest, as is Brandon Miller and Mark Williams. When LaMelo isn’t playing for the Hornets though, this changes the pace entirely.
Joel Embiid is also a chance to return for the 76ers, and if he does that also will slow down Philadelphia’s tempo, resulting in this game to be a real, slow, low-scoring scrap between two of the East’s worst teams this season.
In Charlotte’s seven games without LaMelo this season they average a total points of 213.4, and in games off no rest they have gone unders in 80% of games this season. This won’t be a game for the ages.
SGM – Hornets +10.5 / Under 217.5 Points / Bridges 6+ Rebounds = $4.50
Value Bet
OKC Thunder @ Miami Heat (12:10pm)
Bam has been rebounding extremely well of late, averaging 12.4 per game from his last seven leading into this clash with the Thunder.
The Heat will be well rested against OKC who will play their third game in four days including Wednesday’s NBA Cup Final, with the Thunder conceding the second most rebounds per game to their opponents this season.
Hitting 12+ rebounds in four of his last seven games, I think we could see Adebayo produce a big rebound performance for the Heat in a game I think they can steal as home court underdogs.
SGM – Heat / Bam Over 10.5 Rebounds / Dort 4+ Rebounds = $4.50
Saturday NBA Multi
Hornets +10.5 / Heat / Cavs
$4.63
