Ausar Thompson has been on fire for the Pistons lately and I don’t expect that to change with Tobias Harris on the sidelines.
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Best Bet
Detroit Pistons @ Toronto Raptors (10:30am)
Last four games have been really strong for Ausar Thompson, albeit without Cade Cunningham, but nonetheless he is averaging 14.8 points and 7 rebounds over this stretch.
Cade is questionable to return, but for mine it’s unlikely as they face a Toronto team off no rest that will likely sit Barrett and Barnes.
We do know for certain that Tobias Harris won’t be playing, which means Ausar’s minutes should maintain even if Cade returns. In his last five games without Harris, Thompson averages 15.6 points and 7 rebounds, so this line is far too low.
SGM: Thompson Over 14.5 PR / Duren Over 10.5 Rebounds / Quickley Under 6.5 Assists = $5.50
Next Best
OKC Thunder @ Houston Rockets (11:10am)
Dillon Brooks is suspended for the Rockets, so we should see Tari Eason start and play a substantial role in this contest against the Thunder.
Eason has been playing well for Houston lately, averaging a PR of 21.6 over his last 14 games whilst covering this line in nine of them.
With the Thunder conceding points to power forwards 7% above average over the last month, it’s potentially one of the few holes they have on the defensive end as they still work through the Holmgren / Hartenstein combination. Eason is the one to likely capitalise from this.
SGM: Eason Over 18.5 PR / Sengun 10+ Rebounds / SGA Under 5.5 Rebounds = $5.25
Value Bet
Utah Jazz @ Indiana Pacers (10:10am)
A low line for Brice Sensabaugh considering majority of this Utah team will be sitting against the Pacers.
Since the All Star break, Sensabaugh averages 16.4 points per game in the seven games Kessler misses, hitting 15+ points in four of those games. The three occasions he didn’t hit, two he only played 21 and 22 minutes respectively which included a game where Lauri and Clarkson played.
Sexton is the threat here, but Will Hardy has no real interest in being competitive in this so his minutes will be limited. With only nine players suiting up, Sensabaugh will have to play 30+ minutes which means he’ll easily cover 12.5 points and should hit 15+ at a nice price.
SGM: Pacers / Sensabaugh Over 12.5 Points / Collier Over 6.5 Assists = $3.40
Saturday NBA Multi
Lakers / Clippers / Pistons / Hornets +10.5 = $3.15
