Although majority of Saturday’s games are now dead rubbers, when the Grizzlies head to Denver it will shape the Western Conference playoffs.
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Best Bet
Washington Wizards @ Chicago Bulls (10:10am)
Matas Buzelis has really taken his opportunities with the Bulls when moving into the starting line-up at Power Forward.
With the Bulls needing to win to secure a home play-in elimination game against the Heat, I think we’ll see the Lithuanian play around that 30-minute mark. In 18 games this season where Buzelis has played 26+ minutes, he averages a PR of 22.3 covering this line in 15 of those games!
Buzelis gets a nice match-up against the Wizards who concede points 8% above average and 22% above average over the last month, so he shouldn’t have any trouble covering this line.
SGM: Carrington 15+ Points / Buzelis Over 17.5 PR / George 2+ Assists = $4.00
Next Best
Memphis Grizzlies @ Denver Nuggets (11:10am)
This is a Western Conference defining match, and I just don’t think it will be regulation for the Nuggets who haven’t been great post All Star (hence Malone getting sacked).
Both these teams are fighting to stay out of the play-in, and for Memphis they’ll be desperate to avoid the 8-seed because their bags will be packed before the series even begins against the Thunder.
Although they enter off no rest losing to Minnesota, they actually played ok offensively and could really trouble a Nuggets outfit that has the eighth worst defensive rating in the NBA since the All Star break.
SGM: Memphis +7.5 / Morant 8+ Assists / Pickett 4+ Assists = $5.00
Value Bet
Toronto Raptors @ Dallas Mavericks (10:40am)
Started at Point Guard for the Mavericks last start and played well, so I think Jason Kidd persists with this for at least one more game.
Naji Marshall had 8 assists against the Lakers playing 36 minutes, as the Mavericks moved Spencer Dinwiddie to the bench.
The price for 6+ assists is extraordinary value – Marshall has averaged over 4 assists from the last 21 games, and now as the primary playmaker for this team there’s no reason he can’t repeat his efforts last start.
SGM: Dallas / Washington 6+ Rebounds / Marshall 4+ Assists = $4.20
Saturday NBA Multi
Hawks / Lakers / Mavericks / Pistons = $2.42
