NBA Tips - Monday, March 9 NBA Picks & Multi

The Miami Heat have gone into favourites to take out the Southeast division off the back of a 4-game win streak, led by the efforts of Bam Adebayo.

Best Bet

Detroit Pistons @ Miami Heat (9:10am)

Bam Adebayo

Over 18.5 Points

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$1.96

Averaging 24.2 points per game over his last five, Bam Adebayo has been instrumental in Miami’s four-game win streak.

Bam’s points increase by 12% when he plays without Norman Powell this season, averaging 21.1 points from 15 games without the wing – but it’s his recent run since January 31 without Powell which is more impressive.

From his last nine games without Powell, Bam is averaging 22.1 points while covering 18.5 points in eight of those games. The Pistons concede points to centres 8% above average over the last month, so a good look here for Bam.

Same Game Multi

Adebayo Over 18.5 Points / Ware 10+ Points / Herro 4+ Assists

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$4.20

Next Best

Chicago Bulls @ Sacramento Kings (12:10pm)

Precious Achiuwa

Over 23.5 PR

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$1.80

He let me down last time I backed Precious missing his PR line by 0.5, but his numbers post All Star are simply too good to ignore.

Achiuwa is averaging a PR of 27.1 from his last eight games and is playing bulk minutes in this Kings system – last start he played 41 minutes for 29 points and 12 rebounds.

The Bulls concede rebounds to power forwards 18% above average over the last month, so I think we’ll see Achiuwa’s rebounding numbers continue to flourish while I’ll back him to score 15+ points based off what he delivered last start.

Same Game Multi

Achiuwa Over 23.5 PR / Monk 10+ Points / Westbrook 6+ Assists

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$4.75

Value Bet

Boston Celtics @ Cleveland Cavaliers (4:10am)

Neemias Queta

Double Double

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$4.00

He’s produced some huge games of late, even with Tatum back last start.

Neemias Queta is coming off a 16 point / 15 rebound game against the Mavericks, and when he’s played 20+ minutes recently he’s posted big numbers – I expect him to hit this minute quota with Vucevic out for an extended period of time.

Queta’s last 11 games with 20+ minutes he’s averaged 11.4 points and 11.5 rebounds, recording double doubles in six of those games, including four of the last five. Should go close again at a price.

Same Game Multi

Queta 8+ Rebounds / Mobley 15+ Points / Tatum 4+ Assists

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$3.60

Monday NBA Multi

Today's NBA Multi

Magic / Pelicans / Hornets / Raptors

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$3.85

Sports Journalist

Dale Crotty

Few know the NBA like Dale, who has spent years backing winners for punters across a number of publications and podcasts. He also specialises in tennis and AFL.