Kristaps Porzingis has been a revelation for the Warriors after struggling at the Hawks and late in his Boston career – how will he fair in his European battle with Nikola Jokic?
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Best Bet
New York Knicks @ OKC Thunder (10:40am)
Always been a good rebounder for his size, and his recent form has been really strong.
Josh Hart is averaging 8.5 rebounds per game for the month of March, hitting over 6.5 rebounds in nine of those 11 games which includes hitting double digits in four of those games.
The Knicks played the Thunder on March 4, and Hart produced a strong rebounding performance with 12. OKC concede rebounds to small forwards 7% above average over the last month, so no reason why Josh Hart will slow down in this.
Next Best
LA Clippers @ Milwaukee Bucks (6:40am)
Darius Garland has played the role of Kawhi’s sidekick extremely well lately, and is getting the opportunity at point that he didn’t really get at Cleveland alongside Donovan Mitchell.
Garland is averaging 23.8 points from his last ten games, and has scored 20+ in eight of those games, including 30 last start where we took the over 18.5 points.
Unfortunately one of the two blips were against the Bucks – his opponent in this encounter, but he did score 15 points in just 18 minutes due to a blowout. He should see 20+ minutes in this, and if he does that should be enough against this Bucks defense that concede points to point guards at 12% above average over the last month.
Value Bet
Golden State Warriors @ Denver Nuggets (1:10pm)
Has a new lease of life at the Warriors, and has had some big games for his new team.
Kristaps Porzingis is averaging 18.8 points from his last eight games for Golden State, but his per-36 minute numbers are sky-high at 28.9 per game.
There’s no way we see Porzingis play 36 minutes, but he’s pushing closer to this 30-minute mark the last three games. The Latvian faced the Nuggets back in December when playing for the Hawks and dropped 25 points on them in just 20 minutes.
With Denver conceding points to centres 11% above average over the last month, Porzingis gets another opportunity here.
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