Josh Hart has put tgoether a huge season for New York, and after a couple of poor offensive games I think we’ll see the Knick bounce back.
Best Bet
Chicago Bulls @ Indiana Pacers (9:10am)
Has flourished with his new team as part of the LaVine trade, and with Nikola Vucevic getting injured Zach Collins is producing huge numbers for Chicago.
Collins’ last two games has produced 17 rebounds and 7 assists against the Clippers in 38 minutes, and then backed it up with a 40-minute effort against the Raptors with 13 rebounds and five assists.
The Pacers are one of the easier teams for centres to produce assists against over the last month at 16% above average, so we could see the big man with a 6 to 8 assist game which results in an easy RA cover.
SGM – Giddey 15+ Points / White Under 22.5 Points / Collins Over 11.5 RA = $4.00
Next Best
New York Knicks @ Miami Heat (10:10am)
Last two games have seen Josh Hart’s points line drop dramatically, but this is too low now.
Hart was quiet offensively against the 76ers, while his last start against Memphis he finished on 12 points but played just 28 minutes due to foul trouble.
Over the last 12 games Hart averages 16.9 points, covering 12.5 points in nine of those games, and although OG is back for the Knicks, Hart still averages 14.1 points per game in 51 games this season with the former Raptor.
SGM – Knicks / Hart Over 12.5 Points / Herro 25+ Points = $4.33
Value Bet
OKC Thunder @ San Antonio Spurs (11:10am)
Can see bigs destroying this San Antonio team for the rest of the season with Biyombo and Sochan playing at centre.
The Spurs concede rebounds to centres 12% above average over the last month making them the easiest in the NBA over this period, followed by the Warriora and 76ers. Although Hartenstein hasn’t played the Spurs this season, in his recent games against Golden State and Philly he managed 18 and 16 rebounds respectively.
The other huge detail in this is that Hartenstein won’t be playing alongside Chet Holmgren who is once again injured. The big man’s output took a significant hit in the seven games with Chet, with his rebounds dropping from 11.9 to 9.3, while his minutes also went from 29 to 25 per game.
This is the perfect storm – expect a big return from iHart.
SGM – Hartenstein 12+ Rebounds / Barnes Under 4.5 Rebounds /SGA 6+ Assists = $4.50
Monday NBA Multi
Pacers / Knicks / Pelicans
$2.45
