Without Jokic suiting up again for the Nuggets, this isn’t a great match-up for Alperen Sengun with Udoka sitting the big man against small-ball line-ups on multiple occasions this season.
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Best Bet
Philadelphia 76ers @ Atlanta Hawks (9:10am)
The 76ers are rolling with eight players against the Hawks, which includes recent additions in Brissett, Hood-Schifino and Okeke just to field a team.
Justin Edwards is one of the few regulars suiting up, and the Forward has been great lately. Edwards has scored 18+ in his last three games which includes against difficult match-ups in the Thunder and Rockets – last start against the Spurs he had 25 points.
Edwards is facing the Hawks off no rest in this, who are conceding points to small forwards 21% above average over the last month. Along with Grimes, Edwards is Philadelphia’s second scoring option based off recent form.
SGM: Hawks / Grimes Over 26.5 Points / Edwards Over 12.5 Points = $4.75
Next Best
Denver Nuggets @ Houston Rockets (10:10am)
Seen a bit of an Udoka trend this season with Sengun when Houston play small-ball line-ups where the Turk should really dominant.
Houston often try to match their opponent in going small due to Sengun being exposed defensively, where Jabari Smith Jr will play minutes. This happened as recently as against the 76ers three starts back where he played just 22 minutes including OT, finishing with 13 points.
We also saw this against the Spurs a few weeks back where he scored 9 points in just 19 minutes.
With Aaron Gordon starting at centre with Jokic out of action for Denver, I think we could see another limited outing for Sengun in this.
SGM: Sengun Under 19.5 Points / Gordon Over 17.5 Points / Smith Jr 10+ Points = $4.75
Value Bet
Cleveland Cavaliers @ Utah Jazz (6:40am)
The Cavs have lost four straight and opposing bigs are the main reason due to their dominance on the glass.
Last start, rookie third-string big Oso Ighodaro had a career-high 13 rebounds, JV also had 13 the game prior, Wendell Carter had 14 in Orlando’s shock win, while Zubac went to town with a 20-20 game pulling in exactly 20 rebounds.
Walker Kessler is a top-five rebounder in the NBA this season, slightly behind Zubac, averaging 14.2 rebounds per game over the last 17 while hitting 14+ on eight occasions, which includes a 22-rebound game against the Suns and 25 against the Raptors. The way the Cavs are playing along with how Atkinson is limiting starter minutes as they approach the post-season, big Kessler could have a monster on the glass.
SGM: Cavs / Mitchell Under 24.5 Points / Kessler 12+ Rebounds = $4.00
Monday NBA Multi
Rockets / Thunder / Celtics = $2.80
