Chet Holmgren has been on an under the radar rebounding run for the Thunder – even alongside fellow big man Isaiah Hartenstein. What’s in store when he faces the Mavericks?
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Best Bet
OKC Thunder @ Dallas Mavericks (12:10pm)
Scoring has been well down, but Chet Holmgren’s rebounding numbers have been really impressive lately.
From his last nine games, Holmgren is averaging 11.4 rebounds per game, covering the 8.5 rebounds in seven of those.
The Dallas Mavericks concede rebounds to power forwards 13% above average over the last month, and although Chet only had 8 rebounds last time they met he did only play 23 minutes.
Next Best
Sacramento Kings @ LA Lakers (1:40pm)
Has hit a real purple patch post All-Star with the Kings rotation tighter off the back of season-ending injuries to Domantas Sabonis and Zach LaVine.
Achiuwa is averaging 17 points and 9.4 rebounds in his five games post All-Star break, covering the line of 17.5 PR in three of those.
Finishing with 29 points and 12 rebounds in his last start against the Mavericks, another double-double in this against the Lakers isn’t off the cards.
Value Bet
Detroit Pistons @ Orlando Magic (10:10am)
The Orlando big man has played some really good basketball recently on the offensive end, but his rebounding has been super-consistent for a while now.
Carter Jr. averages 9.2 rebounds per game over his last nine games, hitting 8+ in seven of those games which includes missing last start with six against the Rockets, but Houston is the fourth most difficult team for centres to rebound against over the last month.
Prior to this, Carter Jr. hit 8+ in six straight games, with centres rebounding slightly above average against Detroit over the last month at 2%. Recording 11 last time they met, the big man should hit this at a nice price.
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