Giannis has been posting huge numbers for the Bucks and has played extremely well against Cleveland so far this season. What’s in store for the Greek Freak?
Best Bet
Cleveland Cavaliers @ Milwaukee Bucks (11:10am)
It’s a match-up the Greek Freak likes despite Mobley on paper looking like the perfect match-up for Giannis, but the Buck has had his way with the Cavs this season.
Giannis averages 33.5 points, 15 rebounds and 6 assists against Cleveland in two meetings this season – a PRA of 54.5.
The Greek Freak’s recent form is good too – he averages a PRA of 50.4 in his last five games, covering the PRA of 46.5 on all five occasions.
With the Cavs conceding points to power forwards 5% above average and assists 10% above average over the last month, we should see Giannis push a triple double in this.
SGM – Giannis Over 46.5 PRA / Garland 15+ Points / Mobley 10+ Rebounds = $3.75
Next Best
Denver Nuggets @ OKC Thunder (4:10am)
Hasn’t played a whole heap of basketball since he’s been back, but he’s shown enough with his minutes building.
Chet has averaged a PR of 24.2 across his last six games – this includes a 14-minute 11 PR effort against the Hawks where he rolled his ankle. If you exclude that from the sample, that PR average jumps to 26.8.
Think we’ll see Chet’s minutes move into the low 30s in this contest against the Nuggets, which should not be a blowout, and if that’s the case this PR line of 23.5 is an easy cover.
SGM – Holmgren Over 23.5 PR / Jokic Under 26.5 Points / Gordon 10+ Points = $3.75
Value Bet
Utah Jazz @ Philadelphia 76ers (10:40am)
After Kessler’s 25-rebound & 8-block effort against the Raptors, a rest is in order for the Utah big man – enter Kyle Filipowski.
The rookie big man has posted some big games as a starter without Kessler of late averaging 17.6 points from his last five in that role – three of those Filipowski scored 20+ points which included against a quality defensive outfit in the Clippers.
This is a great match-up for the Jazz rookie – he faces a 76ers outfit that have been the easiest for centres to score against over the last month, at 25% above average including triples as 30% above average with Filipowski a bit of a stretch-five.
There are not too many scoring options for Utah, so we could see a big one here.
SGM – Filipowski Over 15.5 Points / George 4+ Rebounds / Yabusele Under 3.5 Assists = $4.75
Monday NBA Multi
Bucks +8.5 / Pistons / Timberwolves / Grizzlies
$4.90
