The Bucks and Kings certainly isn’t the feature on Monday’s slate, but Giannis is back for Milwaukee and another role player has impressed this season, in particular since returning to the starting lineup.
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Best Bet
Detroit Pistons @ Cleveland Cavaliers (6:10am)
Probably the most depleted the Pistons have been all season with injuries to Jalen Duren, Tobias Harris and Caris LeVert.
This just means more usage for Cade Cunningham along with more minutes if this one against the Cavs stays close.
Over the last three weeks, Cunningham averages 26 points and 11.1 assists – but Cleveland concedes points to point guards 24% above average over the last month, and assists at 13% above average over the same period.
Without Tobias Harris this season, Cunningham averages 31.1 points and 10.4 assists across eight games – I think we could see him produce a monster against this Cavs outfit.
Next Best
Milwaukee Bucks @ Sacramento Kings (1:10pm)
Not that he was looking bad, but much prefer Ryan Rollins in this Milwaukee starting lineup at Point alongside Giannis.
He’s played five games since being reinstated into the starting lineup, averaging 17.8 points, 4.6 rebounds and 5.8 assists, covering the PRA of 25.5 in three of those games – but he only played 22 minutes in one of the games he failed to cover.
Minutes back to high 30s for Rollins, while the Kings concede assists to point guards 15% above average over the last month.
Value Bet
New Orleans Pelicans @ Miami Heat (10:10am)
New Orleans is the easiest team in the NBA for point guards to generate assists against over the last month, 24% above average, so we could see a big performance from Davion Mitchell.
More than capable of producing double digit assists, Mitchell had 10 points and 9 assists against the Timberwolves three starts back, followed by 8 points and 11 assists against the Nuggets.
This matchup is much easier – will certainly be around the mark at a price.
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