NBA Tips - Monday, February 3 NBA Picks & Multi

Jayson Tatum heads to Philadelphia off the back of a double digits assist game against the Pelicans, and we could see something similar once again here.

Best Bet

Memphis Grizzlies @ Milwaukee Bucks (12:40pm)

Luke Kennard

Over 12.5 Points

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$1.96

Ja Morant is in doubt again when the Grizzlies head to Milwaukee, which means Luke Kennard will start at the point, leapfrogging Scottie Pippen Jr in the pecking order.

Kennard has taken the opportunity with both hands cementing his place in Memphis’ rotation – in his last seven games without Morant, he averages 17.6 points covering this line in six of those games.

The Bucks concede points to point guards 15% above average over the last month, so if Morant is out you simply have to take Kennard at this line coming off back-to-back 20+ point efforts.

SGM – Kennard Over 12.5 Points / Lopez 10+ Points / Wells 10+ Points = $4.20

Next Best

LA Clippers @ Toronto Raptors (7:40am)

Clippers -5.5

Line

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$1.92

Ty Lue is a genius. This Clippers group on paper don’t look great, but they continue to flourish this season, in particular since Kawhi has started playing solid minutes.

Since January 13, Kawhi’s third game back, the LA Clippers have the best net rating in the NBA at 12.7. In the ten games Kawhi has played, the Clippers’ net rating is at 15.6 due to the defensive prowess of this group.

Their away record isn’t great, but they’ve beaten teams they are supposed to on the road recently – Charlotte, Portland and San Antonio, all by 6+ points. It appears a short line considering how well they’re playing up against one of the worse teams in the NBA.

SGM – Clippers -5.5 / Harden 20+ Points / Barnes Under 20.5 Points = $3.75

Value Bet

Boston Celtics @ Philadelphia 76ers (10:10am)

Jayson Tatum

6+ Assists

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$2.15

Enters this contest off the back of a 10-assist effort against the Pelicans, and now faces one of the easier teams for power forwards to produce assists against in the 76ers.

Philadelphia concede assists to power forwards 25% above average over the last month making them the easiest team in the competition for this metric.

Tatum averages 6.5 assists over the last eight games, hitting 6+ assists in five of those games, while two of those misses he played well under his planned minutes due to blowouts. The 76ers won’t be an easy-beat in this, they’re playing solid basketball led by Tyrese Maxey of late so expect Tatum to play around 36 minutes in this.

SGM – Oubre 6+ Rebounds / Tatum 6+ Assists / Brown 4+ Assists = $4.50

Monday NBA Multi

Clippers/ Pistons / Cavs
$2.36

Sports Journalist

Dale Crotty

Few know the NBA like Dale, who has spent years backing winners for punters across a number of publications and podcasts. He also specialises in tennis and AFL.