Tobias Harris was a speculative signing for the Pistons in the off-season, but he’s played an important part in putting Detroit in the playoff picture this season.
Best Bet
Detroit Pistons @ Atlanta Hawks (10:10am)
Low-key putting together an outstanding season, and you have to think the 76ers fans right now would much prefer Tobias Harris over Paul George.
Harris is averaging 18.3 points over his last 10 games, covering the line of 15.5 points in nine of them with his only game he failed to cover up against the Cavs where he got injured the start of the last.
Against the Hawks in this, Atlanta is the easiest team for power forwards to score against over the last month at 16% above average. With Harris scoring 22, 20, 18, 19 and 22 in his last five games, the former Sixer should cover this line.
SGM – Harris Over 15.5 Points / Cunningham 10+ Assists / Okongwu 2+ Assists = $4.00
Next Best
Washington Wizards @ Orlando Magic (10:10am)
The last two games we’ve seen big minutes for Cole Anthony in Jalen Suggs’ absence, and the Magic really need to persist with the Point Guard here to gain some momentum this season.
Anthony has played 30+ minutes the last two games as a starter, resulting in PRA of 25 and 33. Although he has only played 30+ minutes on seven occasions this season, when he does so he averages a PRA of 29.7 covering this line all seven times.
Even when we shave these minutes down to 25+, Anthony averages a PRA of 28.4 which includes covering in eight of the last nine games he’s done so. I’ll back in the minutes play here which should result in a cover here.
SGM – Anthony Over 22.5 PRA / Banchero 8+ Rebounds / Wagner 4+ Assists = $5.50
Value Bet
Miami Heat @ Milwaukee Bucks (10:10am)
Far from a pure scorer, but Erik Spoelstra clearly likes something about Davion Mitchell in this Heat line-up.
Mitchell has gone straight into the starting line-up and is playing a heap of minutes – his last three games he’s averaged 35 minutes per game. He scored 16 last game, 14 three starts back, and the volume is kind of there – he’s averaging just under eight field goal attempts per game which is more than enough to score ten points at this price.
The Bucks are far from a great defensive back-court, so we should see Mitchell get his 8-10 shot attempts in this.
SGM – Mitchell Over 6.5 Points / Lopez 10+ Points / Lillard 6+ Assists = $3.60
Monday NBA Multi
Bucks / Thunder / Cavs / Magic
$3.05
