Three game slate prior to the Super Bowl and there’s plenty of chances to build the kitty, led by Dame Lillard who will once again be the focal point for the Bucks minus Giannis.
Best Bet
Charlotte Hornets @ Detroit Pistons (5:10am)
Been huge of late and this is a great match-up against a Hornets team minus Mark Williams who is on the plane back to Charlotte after failing the medical in LA.
Duren enters this off the back of 13 and 13 against the 76ers – this was done in less than 20 minutes due to foul trouble! He started the season slowly, but over Duren’s last 12 games he averages a PR of 26.6 covering 23.5 in 10 of those games.
Has been foul prone of late but it really shouldn’t matter – Duren has proven he can cover this PR with limited minutes, emphasised by his performance against Embiid, and realistically I think he can cover in 24 minutes against Charlotte.
SGM – Harris Under 14.5 Points / Duren Over 23.5 PR / LaMelo 15+ Points = $5.00
Next Best
Toronto Raptors @ Houston Rockets (6:10am)
It’s a horrible match-up for point guards to produce assists against, but this line for Immanuel Quickley is far too low to ignore.
An injury interrupted season, but Quickley’s minutes returned back to high 20s last start against the Thunder where he had 10 dimes.
Quickley has played five times without RJ Barrett this season in which he averages 9 assists per game – when he’s played greater than 25 minutes in three of those five games, he’s hit 10+ assists on all three occasions.
With Toronto cleaning out house with Mitchell and Bruce Brown gone, I think Quickley will capitalise on minutes closer to 30 in this.
SGM – Rockets / Thompson Over 14.5 RA / Quickley 6+ Assists = $4.00
Value Bet
Philadelphia 76ers @ Milwaukee Bucks (6:10am)
No Giannis again for Milwaukee, which means it’s Dame Time.
Lillard has gone big without the Greek Freak across five games this season, averaging 30.8 points and 10.6 assists. Last game he failed to hit the double-double with just 7 assists, but that was against a Cavs team that concede assists to point guards 6% below average over the last month.
In the four games prior without Giannis, Dame hit 10+ assists in all four occasions. With the 76ers conceding assists to point guards 9% above average over the last month, expect a big assist game from Dame.
SGM – George 15+ Points / Lopez Under 14.5 Points / Lillard Over 8.5 Assists = $4.75
Monday NBA Multi
Rockets / Bucks / Pistons
$2.70
