Austin Reaves has posted some video game numbers lately for the Lakers, and although we’ll likely see both Luka and LeBron return, there’s no reason his hot run can’t continue.
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Best Bet
LA Lakers @ Philadelphia 76ers (11:40am)
LeBron questionable for the Lakers clash with the 76ers, but in all honesty even if LeBron plays I expect Reaves to cover this line.
AR is averaging 29.3 points per game this season, and although that average does drop when he plays with both Luka and LeBron, he’s still averaging 26.6 points in those games.
Reaves has covered 22.5 points in three of those five games, which included dropping 31 against the Clippers and 38 on the Mavs.
If LeBron does play, he’s really struggling to score the basketball at the moment averaging just 14 points and shooting the ball at 41% from the field – but his assists are strong, so Reaves to be the beneficiary of this.
Next Best
Portland Trail Blazers @ Memphis Grizzlies (10:10am)
An insane run by Deni Avdija who has been moved into Point Guard with the absence of Jrue Holiday.
Averaging 26.2 points per game this season, without Jrue and with Sharpe playing over a seven-game stretch, Avdija averages 29 points and has hit 25+ points in six of those seven games.
Hitting 25+ in his last five games, no reason why he won’t start slowing down now.
Value Bet
Denver Nuggets @ Charlotte Hornets (10:10am)
The Hornets are the fifth easiest team for centres to produce assists against over the last month, 15% above average, so watch the Joker capitalise.
It’s against the weaker teams where Joker becomes more of a distributor than a scorer – he had 13 assists against the Pacers and Mavs, while he had 16 against the Grizzlies a couple of weeks back, and 12 and 13 against the Pelicans and Bulls respectively.
Averaging 11 assists this season, can quite easily see Jokic produce a passing masterclass in a game the Nuggets shouldn’t have any trouble in.
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