Jalen Suggs has had to take ownership of this Magic offense without Franz and Paolo, and he enters this clash against the Nets off two big games.
Best Bet
Miami Heat @ Houston Rockets (11:10am)
You’d have to be a madman to bet Fred VanVleet’s points line due to his shooting inconsistencies, but I’m happy to take the Rebound + Assist line.
FVV averages an RA of 12.3 from his last six starts covering 9.5 in all six games, while the two games prior to this run he landed on 9.
Miami do concede assists to point guards 7% above average, and if FVV misses some shots early against a stringent Heat defence expect him to put his shot away and act more as a passer.
SGM – Sengun Under 20.5 Points / Brooks 10+ Points / VanVleet Over 9.5 RA = $3.60
Next Best
Indiana Pacers @ Boston Celtics (10:10am)
Brave considering Jaylen Brown just torched the Pacers for 44 points last start, but I’ll back the percentages that lightning doesn’t strike twice.
We’ve definitely seen an inflated line for Brown here off the back of his monster last start, but JB only averages 23.6 points from his last 13 starts while covering 25.5 points in just four of those games.
Let’s see if Indiana learn from their mistakes.
SGM – Celtics / Brown Under 25.5 Points / Siakam Over 26.5 PR = $4.33
Value Bet
Brooklyn Nets @ Orlando Magic (7:40am)
Not an easy match-up against the Nets for Jalen Suggs, but if his last two games are anything to go by he’s capable of producing another big game as the primary focus of this Orlando offense.
Suggs enters this off the back of 29 points against the Heat and most recently 27 points in just 26 minutes against New York, with the Magic moving him to the Shooting Guard spot with Black starting at point.
Shouldn’t have any issues covering the 21.5 points, while 30+ at $5.25 is also worth a small play.
SGM – Suggs Over 21.5 Points / Johnson 15+ Points / Bitadze 10+ Points = $3.30
Monday NBA Multi
Magic / Hawks / Rockets / Thunder
$4.45
