The Lakers have really struggled in December and the injury to Austin Reaves is a huge blow – what will we see from LeBron in his absence?
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Best Bet
Sacramento Kings @ LA Lakers (1:40pm)
Austin Reaves will miss extended time for the Lakers with a calf injury, which means we’ll see more scoring from LeBron against the Kings.
Although LeBron averages just 20.2 points per game this season, without Reaves and still with Luka these numbers explode.
LeBron averages 30 per game in those three games, covering 23.5 points in all three games.
The Kings are one of the worst defensive outfits in the NBA, so plenty of opportunities for King James.
Next Best
Golden State Warriors @ Toronto Raptors (7:40am)
The Warriors have surprisingly been one of the better teams in the NBA in December, ranked eighth for net rating despite a 5-5 record, with their road net rating the fifth best in the league for the month.
As for the Raptors, they’ve really come back down to earth with a thud this month. They’re 4-7 in December with the sixth worst net rating in the league, and they’re even worse at home. In Toronto, they’re 1-5 this month with the second worst net rating in the league over this stretch.
With some stability with Golden State’s rotations lately, I expect them to be too good despite being on the road in this and should cover the 4.5 handicap with ease.
Value Bet
Boston Celtics @ Portland Trail Blazers (10:10am)
Has moved into Boston’s rotation playing around 25 minutes a night for the past three games, with Josh Minott pushed out and Jordan Walsh’s minutes down.
Garza has never had an issue scoring the basketball and has the ability to stretch the floor. The former Timberwolves big man has hit double figures in two of those three games, but after seeing what Brook Lopez did against the Blazers we could see Garza pop off for the Celtics.
Portland concede points to centres 23% above average over the last month, and 28% above average for triples. Could see big bench minutes for Garza in what should be a blowout.
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