NBA Tips - Monday, April 7 NBA Picks & Multi

The Warriors have had Houston’s measure all season, and with so much to play for in the final stages of the season, I expect them to get it done at home.

Best Bet

Phoenix Suns @ New York Knicks (9:10am)

Karl-Anthony Towns

Over 23.5 Points

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$1.85

I know Jalen Brunson is back for the Knicks but that won’t affect KAT against the Suns.

Phoenix is a basket-case, and they’ve really struggled against bigs this season especially over the last month. Centres are scoring at 16% above average against the Suns over the last month, and 32% above average from deep – music to KAT’s ears!

In their only meeting this season KAT had 34 against the Suns, and with the big man covering 23.5 points in seven of his last nine games, I expect him to cover again in this as New York ease Brunson back.

SGM: Towns Over 23.5 Points / Dunn Over 6.5 Points / Hart 4+ Assists = $3.75

Next Best

Houston Rockets @ Golden State Warriors (10:40am)

Golden State -4.5

Line

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$1.90

The Warriors are a real bogey team for the Rockets this season, and with so much to play for in the West when it comes to playoff seedings through 3 to 8, Golden State won’t be taking this lightly.

Golden State has covered the line in all four games against the Rockets this season with a 3-1 record overall – the only loss being by 1-point in Houston.

The last time they played was in Houston just before the All Star break in Jimmy Butler’s only appearance against the Rockets as a Warrior, and Golden State won that by 7. This small-ball line-up the Warriors roll out causes some serious headaches for Sengun, and I expect this stranglehold to continue.

SGM: Warriors -4.5 / Podziemski Over 13.5 Points / Sengun 8+ Rebounds = $4.20

Value Bet

Sacramento Kings @ Cleveland Cavaliers (8:10am)

Domantas Sabonis

16+ Rebounds

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$3.05

A good run back from injury now and has returned to his ways of rebounding like a mad man.

Domantas Sabonis has played seven consecutive games now, and from this stretch he has covered the line of 13.5 on four occasions – but most importantly, when he’s covered this line he’s gone on to record 16+ rebounds each time.

I’ve mentioned the Cavs struggles against centres for a while now – over the last month they concede rebounds to centres 16% above average. With Sabonis the best rebounder in the NBA, we should see a big game from him on the glass.

SGM: Cavs / Sabonis 14+ Rebounds / Mitchell 6+ Assists = $4.33

Monday NBA Multi

Knicks / Thunder / Cavaliers / Warriors = $3.12

Sports Journalist

Dale Crotty

Few know the NBA like Dale, who has spent years backing winners for punters across a number of publications and podcasts. He also specialises in tennis and AFL.