Steph Curry returns for the Warriors, but it’s a teammate of his who has played well in his absence who should continue to produce solid numbers on again against the Rockets.
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Best Bet
Houston Rockets @ Golden State Warriors (12:10pm)
Understand his line dropping due to the return of Steph Curry, but Gary Payton II is still going to play a decent chunk of minutes in this team.
The Warriors are still obviously without Butler, along with Moody, Post and Horford, and the way Payton has been playing the last couple of months he’ll still get his 22+ minutes against the Rockets.
Payton is averaging 12.8 points and 6.3 rebounds in the 19 games he’s played 20+ minutes this season, covering this line in 17 of those including the last 13.
Next Best
Toronto Raptors @ Boston Celtics (5:40am)
The big man has missed plenty of basketball this season, but he’s produced a strong few weeks now for the Raptors.
Poeltl is averaging 13.9 points from his last ten games, hitting double digits in eight of those ten.
The Celtics surprisingly concede points to centres 13% above average over the last month – Poeltl scored 10 points last time he played Boston, and should do so again.
Value Bet
Indiana Pacers @ Cleveland Cavaliers (8:10am)
Obi Toppin’s been back for about a month now, with the Pacers easing him back extremely slowly, but his per-36 minute numbers are quite strong.
Toppin’s going at 22.6 points per-36 minutes off the bench for Indiana, and is averaging 12.3 points from his last 11 games, hitting 15+ points in four of those.
The Cavs concede points for power forwards 15% above average over the last month, and with both Allen and Mobley out for Cleveland, we could see a nice cameo in this by Obi.
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