The Warriors and Rockets is easily the most enthralling match-up on Monday’s slate, and we could see a real grind between two defensive teams.
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Best Bet
Golden State Warriors @ Houston Rockets (11:30am)
Similar to the Lakers and Timberwolves yesterday, these two teams have played in low scoring contests all season.
Although their first meeting back in early November was a shootout, since then all four games have gone unders and it’s convincing – all being over 20 points below the total points line.
From those four games the average total points have been 194.5 with the highest total 203. With two teams that pride themselves on defence, I expect the defensive intensity to be at a maximum in Game 1 – the under 195.5 total points paying $5.50 is a nice value play.
SGM: Under 213.5 Points / Curry 20+ Points / Smith Jr 6+ Rebounds = $3.50
Next Best
Miami Heat @ Cleveland Cavaliers (9:00am)
Not a match-up that Jarrett Allen has thrived off across his career.
The Cavs big man did close to nothing in all three games against Miami this season, averaging just 7.3 points per game.
Looking deeper, when facing Bam going back to 2017, Allen averages just 8.4 points across 19 games – from those 19 games, Allen has covered this line on just three occasions.
Expect the scoring to come from other avenues from the Cavs in Game 1.
SGM: Cavs / Herro 20+ Points / Allen Under 13.5 Points = $3.20
Value Bet
Memphis Grizzlies @ OKC Thunder (3:00am)
No, not Andrew – we’re taking Aaron from the Thunder, and it’s a very low line for a more than handy bench player who will likely get a decent opportunity in Game 1.
The Thunder enter this well rested – much the opposite of the Grizzlies going through two Play-In games to get here, with OKC’s season record against Memphis a 4-0 domination.
With this in mind, I think we’ll see 20+ minutes from Wiggins. He’s got a great record against Memphis this season averaging 19.3 points, including scoring 16 points twice coming off the bench. Great value for the bench player to hit double digits.
SGM: Thunder -13.5 / SGA 30+ Points / Wiggins Over 8.5 Points = $4.20
Monday NBA Multi
Thunder -13.5 / Celtics 11+ / Cavs = $3.28
