Silly season is well and truly under way and we need to watch the in’s and out’s closely to find some hidden gems.
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Best Bet
New York Knicks @ Charlotte Hornets (10:10am)
Charlotte are in major tank mode and this last month of the season might be a bit of a circus.
Bridges and Lamelo Ball are being heavily rotated in and out of the lineup at the moment and I’m expecting it to continue. They both rested last game against Atlanta, so a higher chance that we see them both return here, against the Knicks.
Miles is coming off one of his worst games of the season and will be eager to put that in the rear view mirror. The overall PRA line is down due to his stinker against the Clippers but he’s a way better player than this number. Averaging 39 PRA over his last ten, with a clearance rate of 80%.
SGM: Bridges Over 32.5 PRA/ Knicks Win/ Hart 8+ Rebounds = $3.40
Next Best
Brooklyn Nets @ Indiana Pacers (10:10am)
Wilson had a couple of good games where he made the most of his opportunity. He had 24 and then 30 minutes and cleared this line both times.
Other than those two, he has been used fairly sparingly by Coach Jordi Fernandez. He only managed 7 minutes last game against Boston and didn’t start or finish the game for the Nets. Cam Johnson will miss this game which frees up 25+ minutes but I see them being spread to Clowney and Watford. We saw last game that D’angelo Russell’s return for Brooklyn means far fewer shots to go around. Even if Wilson sees more court than against Boston, he would need to shoot a high percentage to clear this number.
SGM: Wilson Under 11.5 Points/ Russell 15+ Points/ Siakam Over 2.5 Assists = $4.20
Value Bet
Toronto Raptors @ Golden State Warriors (1:10pm)
Toronto are much the same as Charlotte above, with winning basketball games last on their priority list.
They play a bunch of low ladder position teams after this game and that’s where I expect the Raptors starters to find niggles and or rest. But this game against Golden State should give them the ability to play their players and still lose.
Poeltl has been good when he has suited up, and whilst I’m well aware he wont play a full 30+ minutes, he can get to 15 points in 24+ as seen with his last four games. The last four with 24+ minutes he has cleared 15 points every time. The Warriors don’t have much to contend with Poeltl at Centre and he might find some easy baskets under the rim.
SGM: Poeltl 15+ Points/ Butler 6+ Assists/ Curry 30+ Points = $13.75
Friday NBA Multi
Knicks/ Kings/ Lakers +3.5 = $3.38