The Houston Rockets are building a case to be a genuine contender in the West and Jalen Green has been huge for them over the last couple of weeks.
Best Bet
Houston Rockets @ Sacramento Kings (2:10pm)
Unusual to see a guard benefit from the absence of a big, but that’s been the case for Jalen Green and he’s airborne at the moment.
The Rockets Guard averages 32 points across his last six games covering this line quite easily in all of those games, which coincides with the absence of Jabari Smith Jr. Perhaps it’s the shortened rotations in a fairly deep Houston outfit – but whatever it is, it’s working for Green and also for the Rockets.
With shooting guards scoring 8% above average against the Kings over the last month, don’t be surprised if we see Green produce his third consecutive 30+ point game.
SGM – Green Over 23.5 Points / Fox 20+ Points / Monk 15+ Points = $3.20
Next Best
Indiana Pacers @ Detroit Pistons (11:10am)
The Pistons big man has played well against the Pacers on both occasions this season, covering this line both times.
In Detroit’s season opener, Duren finished with 13 points and 13 rebounds, and then backed it up end of November with 14 and 12.
This is a minutes play for Duren – when he avoids foul trouble he generally produces solid numbers. In Duren’s last 10 games where he’s played 24+ minutes, he’s averaged a PR of 22.4 and covered this PR in seven of those ten games.
SGM – Duren Over 19.5 PR / Thompson Over 14.5 PR / Siakam 2+ Assists = $4.20
Value Bet
LA Clippers @ Portland Trail Blazers (2:10pm)
The Blazers are awful, but they could surprise here. The LA Clippers are horrible off no rest, and although they barely played in their demolition of Brooklyn’s G-League team, there’s still red flags.
The Clippers have the third worst net rating in the NBA when they play off no rest this season at -12 – only the 76ers and Wizards are worse.
In their last three games off no rest they’ve been absolutely smashed – Boston by 32, Minnesota by 28 and San Antonio by 36. Even though Portland is a lot worse than these teams, they have to be considered a chance by the numbers on their home floor at this price.
SGM – Trail Blazers +5.5 / Simons Under 21.5 Points / Henderson 10+ Points = $4.50
Friday NBA Multi
Blazers +5.5 / Suns /Pistons
$4.00