NBA Tips – Friday, February 9 NBA Picks & Multi

Nikola Jokic - NBA Tips

Trade deadline is upon us, meaning some potential late ommissions and some unexpected upticks in usage rates. Turn on those Woj notifications!

Best Bet

Golden State Warriors @ Indiana Pacers (11:10am)

Indiana Pacers
Line -6.5

The Warriors are having their turn at the brutal road back-to-back. They may have got the chocolates against an Embiid-less 76ers outfit in Philly, but they’re an aging list, and trying to back it up is no easy feat.

Golden State is also heavily linked to a number of different trade scenarios. There’s a huge chance that Andrew Wiggins is getting shipped, and probably a couple of role players too. This means that they’ll be forced into a smaller rotation, which just compounds the brutality of the road back-to-back.

In their past 3 B2B’s the Warriors have lost to Sacramento and Milwaukee, and very nearly dropped a game to the lowly Detroit Pistons. They face an uphill battle here against a Pacers team that are 17-10 at home this season.

SGM – Kuminga 20+ Points / Siakam 20+ Points / Draymond 6+ Assists = $4.20

Next Best

Chicago Bulls @ Memphis Grizzlies (12:10pm)

Coby White
Over 35.5 PRA

Chicago is another team that is expected to be making moves. I don’t think anyone would be overly surprised if we woke up to the news that one (or both) of DeRozan or Vucevic have been traded, along with Alex Caruso. White stands to be the biggest benefactor of this.

Even if a trade doesn’t eventuate, this line is too low for White, who is logging huge minutes and usage since Lavine’s latest injury. White’s usage rate has skyrocketed to a career-high 26% over his past three games, where he has churned out combined PRA of 51, 36, and 45.

He faces an injury-depleted Memphis squad, at home, in a game where The Bulls might just show their faith in him by giving him the keys to the offense from here on out. Expect minimum high 30’s minutes here, and plenty of shots.

SGM – Grizzlies +5.5 / Over 214.5 Total Points / White 25+ Points = $5.76

Value Bet

Denver Nuggets @ LA Lakers (2:10pm)

Nikola Jokic
Triple Double

This is one of my favourite markets to bet on because it ensures you’ll tune in to watch the best basketballer in the world do his thing.

Last season Jokic had 29 triple-doubles from 69 games. That’s a tick over a 42% hit rate. This season that has dropped down to 15/49; just shy of 31%. Surely we are in for some positive regression here, and no better place to start than against the Lakers, whom the Joker has dropped back-to-back triple-doubles against.

Perhaps AD is disruptive enough on D to force Jokic into passing, or perhaps Nikola just likes toying with the Lakers (Nuggets have won 6 on the trot against LA). Whatever it is, Jokic loves to get his teammates involved against LA. This has resulted in him walking away with a trip-dub in 5 of the past 6 outings, including playoffs. In fact, Jokic is averaging a ridiculous 14 rebounds and 12 assists over this span. Video game numbers!

SGM – Denver Win / MPJ 15+ Points / LeBron 2+ Threes = $4.75

Friday NBA Multi

Nuggets / Suns / Pacers = $2.90