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Zion Williamson is posting MVP-like numbers in New Orleans recent hot streak, and we can expect another big performance when the Pelicans face the Jazz for the second time in three days.
Best Bet
Bucks @ Grizzlies (12:00pm)
Things have slowed up a bit for Brook Lopez of late after his insane start to the season, averaging just 10.2 points, 5.7 rebounds and 1.3 assists from his last nine games – an average PRA of just 17.3.
It will not be easy up against Steven Adams and the Grizzlies, who are the second toughest team to score against for centres over the last month 20% below average, and the hardest to rebound against over the same timeframe at 24% below average.
From Lopez’s last nine games against Adams, he’s only covered the 19.5 PRA on two occasions, and averaging less than six field goal attempts from his last three games we can expect Milwaukee’s scoring to come from alternative options on Friday.
Next Best
Pelicans @ Jazz (1:10pm)
Zion has been absolutely ridiculous of late, averaging 29.5 points, 9.1 rebounds and 5.3 assists from his last eight games equating to an average PRA of 43.9.
Despite a high PRA line of 40.5, Zion has covered this in five of his last eight games, failing to do so last game against the Jazz landing on 40 – the catch is, he did that in less than 26 minutes in a blowout!
He gets another look at Utah on Friday, on based on per 36-minute numbers from last game we could see his PRA as high as 56, with 55+ paying $6.70.
Value Bet
Heat @ Rockets (12:10pm)
The Rockets have been good on their home floor of late winning their last five and covering in their last six at the Toyota Centre including wins over Phoenix, Milwaukee and Philadelphia.
The face the Heat on Friday who enter this off no rest, in which they’ve only managed to cover the line in one of five attempts so far this season, while failing to record a road win on the second game of a back-to-back.
From Miami’s last six games they’ve only covered the spread once, and from their last five games as favourite on the road they’ve covered just once, while winning two of those games. Off the back of a rough road win in Oklahoma City, all the cards fall in Houston’s favour in this.
Friday NBA Multi
Rockets/Grizzlies/Clippers = $7.28